THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-11 12:00

Tiago Cacao v Contri Sergi Perez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
T. Cacao to win1.92
Price too short today - wait for 2.09 or bigger · our chance 48% · market 50/50, us 48/52

T. Cacao is 5-5 over the last ten and 4-5 on clay this season. S. Perez Contri is 6-4 over the last ten and 35-16 on clay this season.

The pick is T. Cacao to win. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.09 or bigger. At 1.92 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. CacaoS. Perez Contri
883Ranking-
5-5Last 106-4
LWLLLLast 5LLLWW
+0.8V the odds+1.4
23-24Season42-21
4-5Clay 202635-16
2Last 7 days1
6dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. CacaoFAV1.9250%
S. Perez Contri1.9250%
Market says50% Cacao

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Cacao0
S. Perez Contri1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11MaiaT. CacaovS. Perez Contri1 - 2

This season & this event

T. Cacao
S. Perez Contri
23-25
4-6
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
43-22
36-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Tiago Cacao
Portugal
Sergi Perez Contri
Spain
883
28
Portugal
0–1
0
0–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
692
28
Spain
30–30
0
5–5
25–25
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Cacao — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)S. Perez Contri1 - 21.9250%LOST
2026-10-05BragaClayO. Wallin2 - 02.5363%LOST
2026-10-04BragaClayM. Karol2 - 02.0154%WON
2026-09-27PortoClayA. Matusevich2 - 13.8476%LOST
2026-09-22M25 SetubalHardR. Bertrand2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-19M25 Sintra 2HardP. Schoen2 - 03.0268%LOST
2026-09-18M25 Sintra 2HardA. Deckers1 - 22.1257%WON
2026-09-17M25 Sintra 2HardT. Torres2 - 02.6165%WON
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardB. T. George0 - 2——WON
2026-09-11M25 SintraHardF. Tabacco1 - 21.9250%LOST

S. Perez Contri — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)F. Broska2 - 12.6764%LOST
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)T. Cacao1 - 21.9250%WON
2026-10-04BragaClayN. Barrientos1 - 21.4068%LOST
2026-09-06SevilleClayA. Ritschard2 - 13.5373%LOST
2026-08-29M25 OviedoClayA. Ritschard2 - 03.9077%LOST
2026-08-28M25 OviedoClayP. Rodenas2 - 12.2357%WON
2026-08-27M25 OviedoClayC. Hernandez1 - 21.5661%WON
2026-08-26M25 OviedoClayC. Cordoba0 - 0 RET1.4566%WON
2026-08-25M25 OviedoClayI. Parisca0 - 21.9250%WON
2026-08-22M25 SantanderClayC. Lopez Montagud1 - 22.0052%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tiago Cacao or Contri Sergi Perez?

Tiago Cacao is favourite at 1.92, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tiago Cacao vs Contri Sergi Perez?

Tiago Cacao is 1.92 and Contri Sergi Perez is 1.92, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

What is the head-to-head between Tiago Cacao and Contri Sergi Perez?

They have met 1 time and Contri Sergi Perez leads 1-0.

Who will win Tiago Cacao vs Contri Sergi Perez?

Our model makes it Tiago Cacao to win at 1.92 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event