Tiago Cacao v Contri Sergi Perez
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTT. Cacao is 5-5 over the last ten and 4-5 on clay this season. S. Perez Contri is 6-4 over the last ten and 35-16 on clay this season.
The pick is T. Cacao to win. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.09 or bigger. At 1.92 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Cacao | S. Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| 883 | Ranking | - |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LWLLL | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| +0.8 | V the odds | +1.4 |
| 23-24 | Season | 42-21 |
| 4-5 | Clay 2026 | 35-16 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 6d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | T. CacaovS. Perez Contri | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Cacao — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | S. Perez Contri | 1 - 2 | 1.92 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | O. Wallin | 2 - 0 | 2.53 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | M. Karol | 2 - 0 | 2.01 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | A. Matusevich | 2 - 1 | 3.84 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | P. Schoen | 2 - 0 | 3.02 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | A. Deckers | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 2.61 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | B. T. George | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | M25 Sintra | Hard | F. Tabacco | 1 - 2 | 1.92 | 50% | LOST |
S. Perez Contri — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | F. Broska | 2 - 1 | 2.67 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | T. Cacao | 1 - 2 | 1.92 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | N. Barrientos | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Seville | Clay | A. Ritschard | 2 - 1 | 3.53 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-29 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | A. Ritschard | 2 - 0 | 3.90 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | P. Rodenas | 2 - 1 | 2.23 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | C. Hernandez | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | C. Cordoba | 0 - 0 RET | 1.45 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | I. Parisca | 0 - 2 | 1.92 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | M25 Santander | Clay | C. Lopez Montagud | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 52% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Tiago Cacao or Contri Sergi Perez?
Tiago Cacao is favourite at 1.92, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Tiago Cacao vs Contri Sergi Perez?
Tiago Cacao is 1.92 and Contri Sergi Perez is 1.92, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.
What is the head-to-head between Tiago Cacao and Contri Sergi Perez?
They have met 1 time and Contri Sergi Perez leads 1-0.
Who will win Tiago Cacao vs Contri Sergi Perez?
Our model makes it Tiago Cacao to win at 1.92 (Lean confidence).