Mathys Erhard v P. Theate
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Erhard is 6-4 over the last ten and 14-12 on hard this season. P. Theate is 1-2 over the last ten. M. Erhard retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is M. Erhard to win. We make it a 89% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.13 or bigger. At 1.04 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Erhard | P. Theate | |
|---|---|---|
| 346 | Ranking | - |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 1-2 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | LWL |
| +1.2 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 31-25 | Season | 1-2 |
| 14-12 | Hard 2026 | 0-0 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 7d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| retired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | M. ErhardvP. Theate | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Erhard — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | A. Barroso Campos | 1 - 2 | 1.24 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | P. Theate | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | P. Zahraj | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Cassis | Hard | D. Glinka | 0 - 1 RET | 2.32 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | B. Pietri | 0 - 2 | 1.16 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | I. Montes-De La Torre | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | C. Broom | 1 - 2 | 2.95 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | A. Shepp | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-08 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 1 - 2 | 2.38 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-07 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | I. Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
P. Theate — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | M. Erhard | 2 - 0 | 10.20 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M15 Forbach | Grass | A. Nagel | 2 - 0 | 3.00 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M15 Forbach | Grass | A. Lenglet | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-06-14 | Royan | Clay | G. Campana Lee | 2 - 0 | 10.96 | 91% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mathys Erhard or P. Theate?
Mathys Erhard is favourite at 1.01, which is a 91% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mathys Erhard vs P. Theate?
Mathys Erhard is 1.01 and P. Theate is 10.20, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.
What is the head-to-head between Mathys Erhard and P. Theate?
They have met 1 time and Mathys Erhard leads 1-0.
Who will win Mathys Erhard vs P. Theate?
Our model makes it Mathys Erhard to win at 1.04 (Lean confidence).