Z. Cado v Niels McDonald
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONN. McDonald is 3-7 over the last ten and 3-6 on hard this season. Z. Cado is 0-2 over the last ten.
The pick is N. McDonald to win. We make it a 86% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.16 or bigger. At 1.08 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| Z. Cado | N. McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | - |
| 0-2 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LL | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| -0.4 | V the odds | -1.5 |
| 0-2 | Season | 23-21 |
| 0-0 | Hard 2026 | 3-6 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 33d | Days rest | 26d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 33d out | Fitness | 26d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Z. CadovN. McDonald | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
Z. Cado — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | N. McDonald | 0 - 2 | 10.50 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | M15 Cap d'Agde | Clay | L. Couturier | 2 - 0 | 2.62 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | G. A. Bailly | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
N. McDonald — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | N. Visker | 2 - 0 | 2.06 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Cado | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | C. Cretu | 2 - 0 | 2.01 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Hamburg | Clay | M. Moeller | 2 - 0 | 2.30 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | Hamburg | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 2 - 1 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-10 | Hamburg | Clay | M. Petkovic | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Hagen | Clay | J. Kym | 0 - 2 | 2.97 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | Bonn | Clay | J. Rodionov | 0 - 2 | 3.17 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | Bonn | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Z. Cado or Niels McDonald?
Niels McDonald is favourite at 1.01, which is a 91% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Z. Cado vs Niels McDonald?
Z. Cado is 10.50 and Niels McDonald is 1.01, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.
What is the head-to-head between Z. Cado and Niels McDonald?
They have met 1 time and Niels McDonald leads 1-0.
Who will win Z. Cado vs Niels McDonald?
Our model makes it Niels McDonald to win at 1.08 (Lean confidence).