Jelle Sels v Ryan Peniston
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTJ. Sels is 4-6 over the last ten and 5-7 on hard this season. R. Peniston is 2-8 over the last ten and 2-10 on hard this season.
The pick is J. Sels to win. We make it a 39% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.55 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Sels | R. Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 218 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 2-8 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | LLLLL |
| -0.9 | V the odds | -2.6 |
| 13-20 | Season | 2-10 |
| 5-7 | Hard 2026 | 2-10 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 21d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 21d out | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head - |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | J. SelsvR. Peniston | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Sels — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | R. Peniston | 0 - 2 | 2.21 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Tulln | Clay | M. Donald | 0 - 2 | 2.87 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Porto 2 | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 2 - 1 | 3.27 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | Porto 2 | Clay | D. Poljak | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | M25 Oldenzaal | Clay | P. De Lange | 1 - 2 | 2.02 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | M25 Oldenzaal | Clay | S. Paardekooper | 2 - 1 | 2.20 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-07-09 | M25 The Hague | Clay | A. Forger | 1 - 2 | 1.93 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-07-07 | M25 The Hague | Clay | D. Wassermann | 1 - 1 RET | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-07-01 | M25 Nivelles (Belgium) | Clay | K. Kivattsev | 2 - 1 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-06-30 | M25 Nivelles (Belgium) | Clay | Y. Inui | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 92% | WON |
R. Peniston — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | F. Romano | 2 - 0 | 2.20 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | J. Sels | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | D. Jade | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Cassis | Hard | D. Glinka | 0 - 2 | 3.42 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | C. E. Overbeck | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | I. Ivanov | 2 - 1 | 2.20 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-02-20 | M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2 | Hard | M. Basing | 0 - 1 RET | 2.26 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-02-19 | M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2 | Hard | F. Rocha | 2 - 0 | 1.23 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-02-17 | M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2 | Hard | R. Alujas | 2 - 0 | 1.06 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-02-10 | Tenerife 2 | Hard | H. Barton | 2 - 1 | 2.50 | 61% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jelle Sels or Ryan Peniston?
Ryan Peniston is favourite at 1.56, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jelle Sels vs Ryan Peniston?
Jelle Sels is 2.21 and Ryan Peniston is 1.56, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.
What is the head-to-head between Jelle Sels and Ryan Peniston?
They have met 1 time and Ryan Peniston leads 1-0.
Who will win Jelle Sels vs Ryan Peniston?
Our model makes it Jelle Sels to win at 2.85 (Lean confidence).