THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-09-27 10:00

Patrick Zahraj v Karl Poling

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
K. Poling to win2.25
Worth backing at 2.07 or bigger · our chance 48% · market 59/41, us 52/48

K. Poling is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-24 on hard this season. P. Zahraj is 3-7 over the last ten and 15-19 on hard this season. The head to head is P. Zahraj 2-0.

The pick is K. Poling to win. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.07 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. ZahrajK. Poling
402Ranking573
3-7Last 105-5
LWLWLLast 5LLWLL
-1.9V the odds+0.3
21-28Season25-27
15-19Hard 202624-24
2Last 7 days3
6dDays rest5d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. ZahrajFAV1.5360%
K. Poling2.2940%
Market says60% Zahraj

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Zahraj3
K. Poling0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifP. ZahrajvK. Poling2 - 1
2026-03-22MoreliaP. ZahrajvK. Poling2 - 0
2024-11-11Drummondville Challenger MenP. ZahrajvK. Poling2 - 0

This season & this event

P. Zahraj
K. Poling
22-29
16-20
Lost R32 to M. Martineau
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
25-28
24-25
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Patrick Zahraj
Germany
Karl Poling
USA
402
27
Germany
13–13
0
11–11
2–2
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
573
27
USA
9–13
0
6–11
3–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Zahraj — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)A. Reco2 - 01.4265%LOST
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)K. Poling2 - 11.5360%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardM. Cassone2 - 03.5473%LOST
2026-09-20St. TropezHardM. Erhard2 - 13.1670%WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)M. Janvier0 - 21.6755%LOST
2026-09-13RennesHard (Indoor)J. Sheehy2 - 01.4168%WON
2026-09-12M25 Plaisir + H (France)HardS. Banerjee2 - 02.4561%LOST
2026-09-10M25 Plaisir + H (France)HardS. Corbinais1 - 21.1682%WON
2026-08-25Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardP. Brady0 - 23.0669%LOST
2026-08-18Sion (Switzerland)ClayM. Brunold2 - 03.2570%LOST

K. Poling — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)P. Zahraj2 - 12.2960%LOST
2026-09-22St. TropezHardT. Droguet2 - 110.0091%LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardM. Echargui2 - 03.3772%LOST
2026-09-20St. TropezHardY. Ghazouani Durand0 - 22.4561%WON
2026-09-13RennesHard (Indoor)N. Slavic1 - 21.4964%LOST
2026-08-25Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - QualificationHardT. J. Fancutt0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-17Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis2 - 14.6580%LOST
2026-08-16M25 East Lansing, MIHardL. C. Alvarez Valdes1 - 2——WON
2026-08-15M25 East Lansing, MIHardN. Filin1 - 21.9651%WON
2026-08-14M25 East Lansing, MIHardA. Nefve0 - 21.5163%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Patrick Zahraj or Karl Poling?

Patrick Zahraj is favourite at 1.53, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Patrick Zahraj vs Karl Poling?

Patrick Zahraj is 1.53 and Karl Poling is 2.29, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

What is the head-to-head between Patrick Zahraj and Karl Poling?

They have met 3 times and Patrick Zahraj leads 3-0.

Who will win Patrick Zahraj vs Karl Poling?

Our model makes it Karl Poling to win at 2.25 (Strong confidence).

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