THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-09-27 10:00

Justin Boulais v Alexandre Reco

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongWON
A. Reco to win2.50
Worth backing at 2.30 or bigger · our chance 44% · market 63/37, us 56/44

A. Reco is 6-4 over the last ten and 11-12 on hard this season. J. Boulais is 3-7 over the last ten and 31-24 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Reco to win. We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.30 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. BoulaisA. Reco
403Ranking-
3-7Last 106-4
LLWLWLast 5LWWWL
-2.6V the odds+0.1
31-25Season17-16
31-24Hard 202611-12
3Last 7 days0
5dDays rest8d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. BoulaisFAV1.4066%
A. Reco2.7334%
Market says66% Boulais

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Boulais0
A. Reco1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifJ. BoulaisvA. Reco0 - 2

This season & this event

J. Boulais
A. Reco
31-26
31-25
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
19-16
13-12
Did not play
Lost R32 to H. Mayot

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Justin Boulais
Canada
Alexandre Reco
France
403
24
Canada
30–22
1
30–22
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
945
27
France
5–11
0
3–8
2–3
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Boulais — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)A. Reco0 - 21.4066%LOST
2026-09-22St. TropezHardH. Mayot2 - 14.0577%LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardM. Martineau2 - 02.5362%LOST
2026-09-20St. TropezHardM. Kaouk1 - 21.3670%WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)M. Bobichon0 - 21.5161%LOST
2026-09-13RennesHard (Indoor)T. Arribage2 - 01.1385%WON
2026-09-07CassisHardM. Bobichon1 - 21.4366%LOST
2026-09-06CassisHardM. Roche2 - 01.0195%WON
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardB. Bonzi2 - 04.2777%LOST
2026-08-01MontrealHardA. Walton2 - 05.6483%LOST

A. Reco — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)P. Zahraj2 - 02.6665%WON
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)J. Boulais0 - 22.7366%WON
2026-09-19M25 NeversHardA. McHugh2 - 02.8266%LOST
2026-09-18M25 NeversHardE. Donnet2 - 11.5659%WON
2026-09-17M25 NeversHardD. Clerc0 - 21.2076%WON
2026-09-16M25 NeversHardM. Kumar0 - 21.0590%WON
2026-09-09M25 Plaisir + H (France)HardS. Banerjee0 - 22.3259%LOST
2026-09-03M25+H Bagneres-de-BigorreHardB. Pietri2 - 02.0355%WON
2026-09-01M25+H Bagneres-de-BigorreHardM. Malige0 - 22.7165%WON
2026-07-28M25 AldershotHardR. Dhokia2 - 11.1087%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Justin Boulais or Alexandre Reco?

Justin Boulais is favourite at 1.40, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Justin Boulais vs Alexandre Reco?

Justin Boulais is 1.40 and Alexandre Reco is 2.73, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

What is the head-to-head between Justin Boulais and Alexandre Reco?

They have met 1 time and Alexandre Reco leads 1-0.

Who will win Justin Boulais vs Alexandre Reco?

Our model makes it Alexandre Reco to win at 2.50 (Strong confidence).

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