Luca van Assche v Learner Tien
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. Tien is 5-5 over the last ten and 23-16 on hard this season. L. van Assche is 4-6 over the last ten and 28-16 on hard this season. L. van Assche took a medical timeout on 2026-10-23. The head to head is L. van Assche 0-1.
The pick is L. Tien to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.55 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. van Assche | L. Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Ranking | 18 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| -0.2 | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 46-25 | Season | 36-23 |
| 28-16 | Hard 2026 | 23-16 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Vienna | L. van AsschevL. Tien | 3-6 1-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. van Assche — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | L. Tien | 2.58 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 AsscheTienPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved9 of 106 of 8Aces117Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | M. Navone | 1.62 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 AsscheNavonePoints won56%44%Serve points won71%56%Return points won44%29%Games held10 of 108 of 11Break points saved3 of 33 of 6Aces75Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | L. Tien | 3.03 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 AsscheTienPoints won41%59%Serve points won50%69%Return points won31%50%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 65 of 5Aces74Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | L. Musetti | 2.91 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 4-6 AsscheMusettiPoints won49%51%Serve points won66%69%Return points won31%34%Games held15 of 1716 of 17Break points saved6 of 83 of 4Aces76Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | V. Vacherot | 2.16 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-4 AsscheVacherotPoints won50%50%Serve points won65%64%Return points won36%35%Games held11 of 1411 of 14Break points saved1 of 44 of 7Aces810Double faults52 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | C. Tabur | 1.59 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 AsscheTaburPoints won53%47%Serve points won64%59%Return points won41%36%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved2 of 35 of 7Aces104Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Bu | 2.34 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 AsscheBuPoints won43%57%Serve points won64%84%Return points won16%36%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 20 of 0Aces112Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Fils | 5.30 | 82% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 AsscheFilsPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%68%Return points won32%47%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved7 of 103 of 3Aces412Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2.36 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set0-6 4-6 6-7 AsscheShapovalovPoints won44%56%Serve points won52%63%Return points won37%48%Games held7 of 1411 of 14Break points saved2 of 98 of 11Aces411Double faults49 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | C. Norrie | 2.87 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-2 6-2 6-3 AsscheNorriePoints won58%42%Serve points won69%53%Return points won47%31%Games held16 of 1910 of 18Break points saved1 of 43 of 11Aces86Double faults53 | |||||||
L. Tien — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | L. van Assche | 1.56 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 TienAsschePoints won47%53%Serve points won67%71%Return points won29%33%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved6 of 89 of 10Aces711Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-11-03 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | D. Vallejo | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 7-5 TienVallejoPoints won51%49%Serve points won62%61%Return points won39%38%Games held13 of 1711 of 16Break points saved7 of 117 of 12Aces102Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-28 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 2.02 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 TienMinaurPoints won40%60%Serve points won50%71%Return points won29%50%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved3 of 72 of 3Aces12Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | L. van Assche | 1.43 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-1 TienAsschePoints won59%41%Serve points won69%50%Return points won50%31%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved5 of 52 of 6Aces47Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Ruud | 1.66 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 TienRuudPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%72%Return points won28%36%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved8 of 92 of 2Aces713Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Svajda | 1.37 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 7-5 TienSvajdaPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%66%Return points won34%25%Games held12 of 1210 of 12Break points saved0 of 01 of 3Aces57Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1.60 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 4-6 TienHurkaczPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%70%Return points won30%34%Games held12 of 1514 of 16Break points saved4 of 73 of 5Aces512Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. Zverev | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 TienZverevPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%73%Return points won27%36%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved5 of 64 of 4Aces05Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cobolli | 1.47 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 2-6 10-7 TienCobolliPoints won50%50%Serve points won55%54%Return points won46%45%Games held5 of 86 of 9Break points saved4 of 73 of 6Aces10Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Lehecka | 1.91 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 5-7 TienLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won57%64%Return points won36%43%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved5 of 96 of 8Aces15Double faults33 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Luca van Assche or Learner Tien?
Learner Tien is favourite at 1.56, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Luca van Assche vs Learner Tien?
Luca van Assche is 2.58 and Learner Tien is 1.56, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Luca van Assche and Learner Tien?
They have met 1 time and Learner Tien leads 1-0.
Who will win Luca van Assche vs Learner Tien?
Our model makes it Learner Tien to win at 1.56 (Lean confidence).