Lloyd Harris v Alexis Galarneau
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONL. Harris is 7-3 over the last ten and 29-9 on hard this season. A. Galarneau is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-16 on hard this season.
The pick is L. Harris to win 2-0. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.11 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Harris | A. Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| 136 | Ranking | 176 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLWLW | Last 5 | WLLWW |
| +0.9 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 32-13 | Season | 37-25 |
| 29-9 | Hard 2026 | 22-16 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Defending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | L. HarrisvA. Galarneau | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Harris — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Galarneau | 2 - 0 | 1.31 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | K. Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | 1.20 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | M. Sharipov | 2 - 1 | 1.40 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | H. Matsuoka | 1 - 2 | 1.25 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 3 | 3.05 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | J. Kennedy | 3 - 0 | 1.15 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | H. Rocha | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | B. Tomic | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
A. Galarneau — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | 3.60 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | E. Ymer | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | F. Sun | 2 - 1 | 1.41 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 1 | 1.67 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Xiao | 0 - 2 | 1.04 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | S. Pankin | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 | 2.60 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | K. Smith | 0 - 2 | 1.61 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | 2.97 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | 3.50 | 72% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lloyd Harris or Alexis Galarneau?
Lloyd Harris is favourite at 1.31, which is a 73% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lloyd Harris vs Alexis Galarneau?
Lloyd Harris is 1.31 and Alexis Galarneau is 3.60, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between Lloyd Harris and Alexis Galarneau?
They have met 1 time and Lloyd Harris leads 1-0.
Who will win Lloyd Harris vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model makes it Lloyd Harris to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).