James Duckworth v Lorenzo Sonego
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTJ. Duckworth is 6-4 over the last ten and 18-14 on hard this season. L. Sonego is 4-6 over the last ten and 6-8 on hard this season. The head to head is J. Duckworth 1-2.
The pick is J. Duckworth to win. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.93 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Duckworth | L. Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Ranking | 66 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLWWW | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| +1.7 | V the odds | -1.1 |
| 26-23 | Season | 12-18 |
| 18-14 | Hard 2026 | 6-8 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 4d | Days rest | 15d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | J. DuckworthvL. Sonego | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | L. SonegovJ. Duckworth | 0 - 2 |
| 2022-06-21 | Eastbourne | L. SonegovJ. Duckworth | 2 - 1 |
| 2021-07-03 | Wimbledon | L. SonegovJ. Duckworth | 3 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Duckworth — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | K. Majchrzak | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | Y. Wu | 0 - 3 | 2.34 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 1 - 3 | 2.45 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | F. Marozsan | 1 - 2 | 2.41 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 2.15 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | 2.38 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | Q. Vandecasteele | 0 - 2 | 1.34 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Fery | 2 - 1 | 1.97 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | J.J. Wolf | 0 - 2 | 2.35 | 59% | WON |
L. Sonego — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Passaro | 1 - 2 | 1.62 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 2 | 14.46 | 93% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | 1.76 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | P. Herbert | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | 2.61 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Shang | 0 - 2 | 2.33 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 0 - 2 | 2.14 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-07-15 | Gstaad | Clay | R. Collignon | 2 - 0 | 2.71 | 64% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, James Duckworth or Lorenzo Sonego?
Lorenzo Sonego is favourite at 1.69, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for James Duckworth vs Lorenzo Sonego?
James Duckworth is 2.28 and Lorenzo Sonego is 1.69, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego?
They have met 4 times and Lorenzo Sonego leads 3-1.
Who will win James Duckworth vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Our model makes it James Duckworth to win at 2.18 (Strong confidence).