Juncheng Shang v Adrian Mannarino
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Mannarino is 3-7 over the last ten and 11-19 on hard this season. J. Shang is 3-7 over the last ten and 5-8 on hard this season. The head to head is J. Shang 0-1.
The pick is A. Mannarino to win. We make it a 36% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.76 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Shang | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| 406 | Ranking | 67 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LLLWW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| -1.9 | V the odds | -1.6 |
| 5-8 | Season | 16-29 |
| 5-8 | Hard 2026 | 11-19 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 23d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 23d out | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | J. ShangvA. Mannarino | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-03-23 | ATP Miami | A. MannarinovJ. Shang | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Shang — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 3 | 1.49 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 | 1.88 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | 3.86 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-02 | Montreal | Hard | D. Vallejo | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington | Hard | K. Nishikori | 2 - 1 | 1.69 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | 5.20 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | 4.09 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-01-22 | Australian Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | 1.68 | 58% | LOST |
A. Mannarino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Shang | 0 - 2 | 2.88 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bobichon | 0 - 2 | 1.16 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | D. Added | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Bublik | 3 - 0 | 4.10 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 3 | 3.15 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | 2.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | 3.70 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | Washington | Hard | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | 5.32 | 82% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Juncheng Shang or Adrian Mannarino?
Juncheng Shang is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino?
Juncheng Shang is 1.47 and Adrian Mannarino is 2.88, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between Juncheng Shang and Adrian Mannarino?
They have met 2 times and Adrian Mannarino leads 2-0.
Who will win Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model makes it Adrian Mannarino to win at 2.91 (Lean confidence).