THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai · 1/32-finals2026-10-10 04:00

Learner Tien v Zachary Svajda

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Tien to win 2-01.83
Price too short today - wait for 2.19 or bigger · our chance 46% · market 71/29, us 75/25

L. Tien is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-14 on hard this season. Z. Svajda is 4-6 over the last ten and 23-16 on hard this season.

The pick is L. Tien to win 2-0. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.19 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. TienZ. Svajda
15Ranking80
5-5Last 104-6
LLWLWLast 5WLLWL
-0.3V the odds-1.2
33-21Season29-22
20-14Hard 202623-16
0Last 7 days1
10dDays rest3d
0Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. TienFAV1.3771%
Z. Svajda3.3529%
Market says71% Tien

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Tien1
Z. Svajda0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10ShanghaiL. TienvZ. Svajda2 - 0

This season & this event

L. Tien
Z. Svajda
34-21
21-14
Lost R16 to D. Medvedev
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-23
23-17
Did not play
Lost R64 to M. Arnaldi

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Learner Tien
USA
Zachary Svajda
USA
15
20
USA
31–18
1
19–11
9–4
2–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
80
23
USA
28–21
1
20–11
4–6
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Tien — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardZ. Svajda2 - 01.3771%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardH. Hurkacz1 - 21.6061%LOST
2026-09-27ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)A. Zverev2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-26ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)F. Cobolli1 - 21.4765%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Lehecka2 - 01.9150%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Mensik0 - 22.2258%WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardK. Khachanov3 - 21.5762%LOST
2026-09-06US OpenHardJ. Mensik2 - 31.7257%WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardG. Monfils0 - 31.2279%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardN. Borges0 - 31.4965%WON

Z. Svajda — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardL. Tien2 - 03.3571%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardF. Marozsan0 - 22.0753%WON
2026-09-28TokyoHardA. Kovacevic1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-03US OpenHardA. Gea1 - 31.7555%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardD. Altmaier3 - 11.6559%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardM. Bellucci0 - 21.5662%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardA. Fils1 - 23.5072%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardD. Shapovalov1 - 1 RET2.3559%WON
2026-07-27WashingtonHardA. Vukic2 - 01.6260%LOST
2026-07-26WashingtonHardC. Hewitt1 - 1 RET1.1186%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Learner Tien or Zachary Svajda?

Learner Tien is favourite at 1.37, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda?

Learner Tien is 1.37 and Zachary Svajda is 3.35, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Learner Tien and Zachary Svajda?

They have met 1 time and Learner Tien leads 1-0.

Who will win Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda?

Our model makes it Learner Tien to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event