Joao Domingues v Vadym Ursu
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTV. Ursu is 3-7 over the last ten and 1-1 on clay this season. J. Domingues is 4-6 over the last ten and 4-5 on clay this season.
The pick is V. Ursu to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.76 or bigger. At 1.58 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Domingues | V. Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| 781 | Ranking | - |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LWLLL | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| -0.8 | V the odds | -1.0 |
| 26-20 | Season | 25-22 |
| 4-5 | Clay 2026 | 1-1 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 3d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head - |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | J. DominguesvV. Ursu | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Domingues — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | M. Geerts | 2 - 1 | 2.30 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | V. Ursu | 2 - 0 | 1.94 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | 2.96 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Izquierdo Luque | 2 - 1 | 1.66 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | J. Penzlin | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | Estoril | Clay | T. Skatov | 1 - 2 | 4.27 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-07-01 | M25 Figueira da Foz | Hard | F. Andaloro | 0 - 2 | 2.31 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-06-25 | M25 Porto | Hard | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 2.98 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-06-24 | M25 Porto | Hard | M. McKennon | 2 - 1 | 1.66 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-06-19 | M25 Lourinha (Portugal) | Hard | F. Andaloro | 1 - 2 | 2.11 | 55% | LOST |
V. Ursu — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | J. Domingues | 2 - 0 | 1.75 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | St. Tropez | Hard | B. Gojo | 0 - 2 | 5.50 | 83% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | H. Grenier | 2 - 0 | 3.50 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | G. A. Boitan | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Istanbul | Clay | D. Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | 3.40 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul | Clay | A. Holmgren | 0 - 2 | 4.33 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt) | Hard | D. Javia | 1 - 2 | 1.20 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Astana | Hard | M. Dhamne | 0 - 2 | 2.62 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Istanbul 2 (Turkey) | Hard | T. Pereira | 1 - 2 | 3.20 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-07-31 | Samsun (Turkey) - Qualification | Hard | K. Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | 3.14 | 69% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Joao Domingues or Vadym Ursu?
Vadym Ursu is favourite at 1.75, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu?
Joao Domingues is 1.94 and Vadym Ursu is 1.75, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Joao Domingues and Vadym Ursu?
They have met 1 time and Joao Domingues leads 1-0.
Who will win Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model makes it Vadym Ursu to win at 1.58 (Lean confidence).