THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ChallengerClayPorto2026-09-27 12:00

Alexander Donski v Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Donski to win3.25
Worth backing at 2.82 or bigger · our chance 36% · market 29/71, us 36/64

A. Donski is 6-4 over the last ten and 9-6 on clay this season. A. Sanchez Quilez is 7-3 over the last ten and 21-15 on clay this season.

The pick is A. Donski to win. We make it a 36% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.82 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. DonskiA. Sanchez Quilez
-Ranking485
6-4Last 107-3
LLWWWLast 5LLWWW
+1.6V the odds+0.4
21-15Season39-21
9-6Clay 202621-15
0Last 7 days0
41dDays rest13d
0Wins here0
41d outFitnessClear
Head to head
-

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Donski2.8133%
A. Sanchez QuilezFAV1.3667%
Market says67% Quilez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Donski0
A. Sanchez Quilez1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-27PortoA. DonskivA. Sanchez Quilez1 - 2

This season & this event

A. Donski
A. Sanchez Quilez
21-16
9-7
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
40-22
22-16
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Alexander Donski
Bulgaria
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Spain
678
28
Bulgaria
16–16
1
9–4
7–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
485
21
Spain
19–10
0
11–4
8–6
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Donski — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27PortoClayA. Sanchez Quilez1 - 22.8167%LOST
2026-08-17Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardA. Guerrieri1 - 22.8968%LOST
2026-08-07Grodzisk MazowieckiHardD. Glinka0 - 22.6263%LOST
2026-08-05Grodzisk MazowieckiHardA. Moro Canas0 - 24.0676%WON
2026-08-04Grodzisk MazowieckiHardT. Kumasaka2 - 01.6359%WON
2026-08-03Grodzisk MazowieckiHardN. K. Sinha2 - 0——WON
2026-08-02Grodzisk MazowieckiHardK. De Schepper2 - 11.3471%WON
2026-07-21ZugClayM. H. Rehberg0 - 23.9776%LOST
2026-07-20ZugClayJ. P. Varillas0 - 22.6464%WON
2026-07-19ZugClayM. Topo2 - 03.5273%WON

A. Sanchez Quilez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28PortoClayF. Tabacco2 - 11.3469%LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayA. Donski1 - 21.3667%WON
2026-09-14BiellaClayO. Roca Batalla2 - 02.2058%LOST
2026-09-06SevilleClayA. Turriziani Alvarez0 - 21.0789%LOST
2026-09-03MallorcaHardM. Kasnikowski0 - 22.1357%WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardF. Meligeni Alves0 - 22.0052%WON
2026-08-08M25+H TausteHardI. Almazan Valiente0 - 21.3770%WON
2026-08-07M25+H TausteHardA. Shah0 - 21.3372%WON
2026-08-06M25+H TausteHardA. Colombo0 - 21.0888%WON
2026-08-05M25+H TausteHardG. Marques0 - 21.1683%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alexander Donski or Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Alejo Sanchez Quilez is favourite at 1.36, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alexander Donski vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Alexander Donski is 2.81 and Alejo Sanchez Quilez is 1.36, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

What is the head-to-head between Alexander Donski and Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

They have met 1 time and Alejo Sanchez Quilez leads 1-0.

Who will win Alexander Donski vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Our model makes it Alexander Donski to win at 3.25 (Lean confidence).

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