Mario Gonzalez Fernandez v Marko Topo
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Gonzalez Fernandez is 4-6 over the last ten and 1-4 on clay this season. M. Topo is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-19 on clay this season. M. Topo retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is M. Gonzalez Fernandez to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Gonzalez Fernandez | M. Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| 594 | Ranking | 345 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LLLLW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| -1.1 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 18-25 | Season | 19-22 |
| 1-4 | Clay 2026 | 16-19 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 5d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head - |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | M. Gonzalez FernandezvM. Topo | 1 - 2 |
| 2024-11-13 | ITF M25 Vale do Lobo 2 Men | M. TopovM. Gonzalez Fernandez | 1 - 2 |
| 2024-10-31 | ITF M25 Heraklion 2 Men | M. Gonzalez FernandezvM. Topo | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Gonzalez Fernandez — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | M. Topo | 1 - 2 | 3.41 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Setubal | Hard | G. Perego | 0 - 2 | 1.29 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Szczecin | Clay | N. Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | 2.65 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Seville | Clay | P. Lagutin | 0 - 2 | 4.96 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | R. Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | 6.60 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | M. Krueger | 2 - 0 | 2.80 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | M. Kuhar | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | C. Puttergill | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | R. Pascual Ferra | 2 - 0 | 3.25 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | M25+H Tauste | Hard | A. Shah | 1 - 2 | 2.34 | 60% | LOST |
M. Topo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | P. Nesterov | 2 - 0 | 1.77 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | M. Gonzalez Fernandez | 1 - 2 | 1.27 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | M25 Zlatibor | Clay | K. Juhas | 2 - 0 | 1.38 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | M25 Zlatibor | Clay | A. Aubriot | 2 - 0 | 1.16 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Zlatibor | Clay | N. Belozertsev | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Zlatibor | Clay | S. Popovic | 2 - 0 | 1.25 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Zlatibor | Clay | C. Warik | 2 - 1 | 1.01 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Tulln | Clay | V. Sachko | 0 - 2 | 2.69 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Tulln | Clay | D. E. Galan | 2 - 1 | 2.63 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | V. Aboian | 0 - 1 RET | 1.49 | 64% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mario Gonzalez Fernandez or Marko Topo?
Marko Topo is favourite at 1.27, which is a 73% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Marko Topo?
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez is 3.41 and Marko Topo is 1.27, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Marko Topo?
They have met 3 times and Marko Topo leads 2-1.
Who will win Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Marko Topo?
Our model makes it Mario Gonzalez Fernandez to win a set (Lean confidence).