THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ChallengerClayPorto2026-09-27 13:30

Petr Nesterov v Radu Albot

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
P. Nesterov to win1.60
Price too short today - wait for 1.69 or bigger · our chance 59% · market 58/42, us 59/41

P. Nesterov is 6-4 over the last ten and 29-14 on clay this season. R. Albot is 7-3 over the last ten and 6-8 on clay this season.

The pick is P. Nesterov to win. We make it a 59% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.69 or bigger. At 1.60 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. NesterovR. Albot
428Ranking430
6-4Last 107-3
LLLLWLast 5LWWWL
-0.9V the odds+0.4
48-21Season17-19
29-14Clay 20266-8
1Last 7 days0
6dDays rest17d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
-

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. NesterovFAV1.5560%
R. Albot2.3040%
Market says60% Nesterov

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

P. Nesterov
R. Albot
50-21
31-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
17-19
6-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Petr Nesterov
Bulgaria
Radu Albot
Moldova
428
23
Bulgaria
22–8
1
20–8
2–0
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
430
36
Moldova
0–2
0
0–2
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Nesterov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Topo2 - 01.9252%WON
2026-09-27PortoClayG. Tabacco2 - 11.5759%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayC. Taberner2 - 12.5063%LOST
2026-09-01Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayY. Milev1 - 21.2378%LOST
2026-08-12M25 MuttenzClayD. Sakellaridis2 - 11.2875%LOST
2026-08-09Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayG. Piraino2 - 01.5861%LOST
2026-08-08Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayR. M. Papoe2 - 0——WON
2026-08-07Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayA. Andreev0 - 21.7954%WON
2026-08-05Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayS. Sorger2 - 01.8053%WON
2026-08-04Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayL. Angelini0 - 21.4168%WON

R. Albot — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-10IstanbulClayY. Erel2 - 02.3761%LOST
2026-09-08IstanbulClayG. Kravchenko2 - 01.6158%WON
2026-09-07IstanbulClayR. D. Turcanu2 - 1——WON
2026-09-06IstanbulClayA. Braynin2 - 11.2575%WON
2026-08-24Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardL. Rossi1 - 21.4465%LOST
2026-08-23Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardC. Gannon2 - 01.3071%WON
2026-08-19Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardM. Geerts2 - 12.1056%LOST
2026-08-18Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardC. Bittoun2 - 01.6756%WON
2026-08-17Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardL. Rossi2 - 11.4165%WON
2026-08-16Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardV. Frydrych2 - 11.0687%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Petr Nesterov or Radu Albot?

Petr Nesterov is favourite at 1.55, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Petr Nesterov vs Radu Albot?

Petr Nesterov is 1.55 and Radu Albot is 2.30, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

Who will win Petr Nesterov vs Radu Albot?

Our model makes it Petr Nesterov to win at 1.60 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event