THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-10 04:00

Jiri Lehecka v Nuno Borges

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
J. Lehecka to win 2-01.83
Price too short today - wait for 2.25 or bigger · our chance 44% · market 71/29, us 74/26

J. Lehecka is 8-2 over the last ten and 23-13 on hard this season. N. Borges is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-14 on hard this season. J. Lehecka has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is J. Lehecka 1-0.

The pick is J. Lehecka to win 2-0. We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.25 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. LeheckaN. Borges
19Ranking49
8-2Last 106-4
LWWWWLast 5WLWLL
+2.1V the odds+0.5
35-18Season29-27
23-13Hard 202617-14
4Last 7 days1
4dDays rest3d
0Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. LeheckaFAV1.3871%
N. Borges3.3029%
Market says71% Lehecka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Lehecka2
N. Borges0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10ShanghaiJ. LeheckavN. Borges2 - 1
2023-02-04ATP Davis Cup - World GroupN. BorgesvJ. Lehecka0 - 2

This season & this event

J. Lehecka
N. Borges
36-18
24-13
Lost R16 to A. Rinderknech
Lost R32 to H. Rune
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-28
17-15
Lost R16 to A. De Minaur
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jiri Lehecka
Czech Republic
Nuno Borges
Portugal
19
24
Czech Republic
33–17
0
18–10
6–4
6–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
49
29
Portugal
28–26
0
13–11
9–9
5–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Lehecka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardN. Borges2 - 11.3871%WON
2026-10-06TokyoHardC. Alcaraz2 - 04.0376%LOST
2026-10-05TokyoHardV. Vacherot2 - 01.5662%WON
2026-10-04TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 01.3671%WON
2026-10-03TokyoHardU. Humbert1 - 21.5961%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardZ. Bergs2 - 11.3871%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Tien2 - 01.9450%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsB. Shelton2 - 02.3260%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardS. Tsitsipas1 - 31.5862%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardT. Samuel3 - 01.3672%WON

N. Borges — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardJ. Lehecka2 - 13.3071%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardF. Diaz Acosta2 - 01.3075%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardN. Djokovic0 - 22.9568%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryD. Duran0 - 21.0195%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardL. Tien0 - 32.8065%LOST
2026-08-20CincinnatiHardB. Nakashima1 - 22.5161%LOST
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardA. Rublev0 - 22.7164%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardF. Cerundolo2 - 01.8153%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardT. Kokkinakis2 - 11.4169%WON
2026-08-08MontrealHardL. Darderi1 - 21.5762%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jiri Lehecka or Nuno Borges?

Jiri Lehecka is favourite at 1.38, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges?

Jiri Lehecka is 1.38 and Nuno Borges is 3.30, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Jiri Lehecka and Nuno Borges?

They have met 2 times and Jiri Lehecka leads 2-0.

Who will win Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges?

Our model makes it Jiri Lehecka to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).

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