Ivan Marrero Curbelo v Luca Potenza
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONL. Potenza is 5-5 over the last ten and 11-10 on clay this season. I. Marrero Curbelo is 4-6 over the last ten and 8-6 on clay this season. I. Marrero Curbelo retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is L. Potenza to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.57 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| I. Marrero Curbelo | L. Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| 481 | Ranking | 449 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | +0.2 |
| 31-17 | Season | 20-22 |
| 8-6 | Clay 2026 | 11-10 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 20d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| retired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head - |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | I. Marrero CurbelovL. Potenza | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
I. Marrero Curbelo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | L. Potenza | 1 - 2 | 2.39 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul | Clay | M. Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | 4.21 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | O. Paldanius | 1 - 0 RET | 2.15 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | B. Bicknell | 2 - 1 | 2.75 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | A. Andrade | 0 - 2 | 3.95 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | L. Andrade da Silva | 0 - 2 | 2.66 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | L. Seidman | 2 - 1 | 1.05 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-08-07 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | M. Erhard | 2 - 0 | 2.76 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | M. Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | 5.11 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | F. Peliwo | 1 - 2 | 1.26 | 76% | WON |
L. Potenza — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | L. Maxted | 1 - 0 RET | 2.15 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | I. Marrero Curbelo | 1 - 2 | 1.51 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 1 | 2.55 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | F. Bass | 1 - 2 | 1.25 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-05 | Mallorca | Hard | I. Montes-De La Torre | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Mallorca | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | 3.85 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | D. Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 1 | 2.11 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | C. E. Overbeck | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | D. Masur | 2 - 0 | 2.37 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | A. Deckers | 2 - 0 | 2.35 | 59% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Ivan Marrero Curbelo or Luca Potenza?
Luca Potenza is favourite at 1.51, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza?
Ivan Marrero Curbelo is 2.39 and Luca Potenza is 1.51, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza?
They have met 1 time and Luca Potenza leads 1-0.
Who will win Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza?
Our model makes it Luca Potenza to win at 1.57 (Solid confidence).