THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-10 04:00

Ignacio Buse v Zizou Bergs

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
I. Buse to win2.63
Worth backing at 2.27 or bigger · our chance 44% · market 37/63, us 44/56

I. Buse is 7-3 over the last ten and 13-10 on hard this season. Z. Bergs is 5-5 over the last ten and 11-13 on hard this season. Z. Bergs took a medical timeout on 2026-10-01.

The pick is I. Buse to win. We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.27 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

I. BuseZ. Bergs
35Ranking38
7-3Last 105-5
LLWLWLast 5WLLWL
+1.4V the odds-1.2
31-22Season26-24
13-10Hard 202611-13
0Last 7 days1
10dDays rest3d
0Wins here1
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

I. Buse2.6337%
Z. BergsFAV1.5463%
Market says63% Bergs

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

I. BuseLLLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

I. Buse0
Z. Bergs1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10ShanghaiI. BusevZ. Bergs0 - 2

This season & this event

I. Buse
Z. Bergs
31-23
13-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-24
12-13
Lost QF to N. Djokovic
Lost R64 to G. Dimitrov

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Ignacio Buse
Peru
Zizou Bergs
Belgium
35
22
Peru
31–21
2
9–5
18–12
3–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
38
27
Belgium
25–23
1
10–12
7–7
7–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

I. Buse — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardZ. Bergs0 - 22.6363%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardQ. Halys0 - 22.2557%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryD. Vallejo1 - 21.4069%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryH. J. Escurra Isnardi2 - 1——WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardB. Bonzi3 - 01.9051%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardM. Giron2 - 31.6160%WON
2026-08-29Winston-SalemHardA. Fery0 - 22.1354%WON
2026-08-28Winston-SalemHardB. Bonzi2 - 12.1855%WON
2026-08-27Winston-SalemHardJ. M. Cerundolo1 - 22.1855%WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardD. Altmaier0 - 21.7954%WON

Z. Bergs — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardI. Buse0 - 21.5463%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardV. Kopriva0 - 21.3970%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardJ. Lehecka2 - 13.3171%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Rodionov2 - 01.5662%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Neumayer1 - 21.4067%WON
2026-09-05US OpenHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 32.6763%LOST
2026-09-03US OpenHardJ. De Jong3 - 11.3969%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardC. Taberner3 - 11.0592%WON
2026-08-21Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardA. Pellegrino2 - 01.2279%WON
2026-08-21Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis1 - 21.4368%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ignacio Buse or Zizou Bergs?

Zizou Bergs is favourite at 1.54, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs?

Ignacio Buse is 2.63 and Zizou Bergs is 1.54, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs?

They have met 1 time and Zizou Bergs leads 1-0.

Who will win Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs?

Our model makes it Ignacio Buse to win at 2.63 (Strong confidence).

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