THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai · 1/32-finals2026-10-10 04:00

Francisco Cerundolo v Roman Safiullin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongWON
F. Cerundolo to win1.96
Worth backing at 1.76 or bigger · our chance 57% · market 50/50, us 57/43

F. Cerundolo is 7-3 over the last ten and 25-13 on hard this season. R. Safiullin is 7-3 over the last ten and 11-9 on hard this season. R. Safiullin took a medical timeout on 2026-09-26. R. Safiullin has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is F. Cerundolo 1-1.

The pick is F. Cerundolo to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.76 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. CerundoloR. Safiullin
22Ranking84
7-3Last 107-3
LWWLWLast 5WWWLW
+1.5V the odds+1.7
36-21Season39-16
25-13Hard 202611-9
2Last 7 days4
6dDays rest3d
0Wins here3
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. Cerundolo1.9650%
R. SafiullinFAV1.9350%
Market says50% Safiullin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Cerundolo2
R. Safiullin1
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09ShanghaiF. CerundolovR. Safiullin2 - 0
2024-11-06Belgrade 2F. CerundolovR. Safiullin2 - 0
2024-07-03ATP WimbledonR. SafiullinvF. Cerundolo3 - 2

This season & this event

F. Cerundolo
R. Safiullin
37-22
26-14
Lost R32 to Z. Bergs
Lost R64 to A. Shevchenko
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
39-17
11-10
Did not play
Lost R16 to N. Djokovic

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Francisco Cerundolo
Argentina
Roman Safiullin
World
22
28
Argentina
33–18
2
11–9
15–8
5–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
84
29
World
37–16
2
8–8
20–4
9–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Cerundolo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardJ. Mensik1 - 22.3959%LOST
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.9650%WON
2026-10-04BeijingHardD. Medvedev2 - 03.0969%LOST
2026-10-03BeijingHardJ. Mensik2 - 02.7464%WON
2026-10-01BeijingHardB. Van De Zandschulp1 - 21.6757%WON
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)C. Ruud2 - 11.9752%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryM. Alkaya2 - 01.1386%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryY. Erel2 - 01.1882%WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardA. Blockx1 - 32.4159%LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardT. Fritz2 - 36.3185%WON

R. Safiullin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardF. Cerundolo2 - 01.9350%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardR. Hijikata0 - 21.3572%WON
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardS. Mochizuki2 - 01.1981%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardA. Galarneau2 - 01.1682%WON
2026-10-03BeijingHardA. Rublev2 - 12.2857%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardF. Cobolli2 - 01.9851%WON
2026-09-28HangzhouHardD. Medvedev2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-27HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.8750%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardQ. Halys1 - 21.7855%WON
2026-09-24HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.2279%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Francisco Cerundolo or Roman Safiullin?

Roman Safiullin is favourite at 1.93, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin?

Francisco Cerundolo is 1.96 and Roman Safiullin is 1.93, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Francisco Cerundolo and Roman Safiullin?

They have met 3 times and Francisco Cerundolo leads 2-1.

Who will win Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin?

Our model makes it Francisco Cerundolo to win at 1.96 (Strong confidence).

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