Fausto Tabacco v Daniel Rincon
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTF. Tabacco is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-4 on clay this season. D. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-11 on clay this season. F. Tabacco has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is F. Tabacco to win. We make it a 35% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.84 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Tabacco | D. Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| 766 | Ranking | 253 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| +1.9 | V the odds | +0.5 |
| 39-18 | Season | 34-25 |
| 17-4 | Clay 2026 | 22-11 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 8d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | F. TabaccovD. Rincon | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Tabacco — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | D. Rincon | 0 - 2 | 3.00 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | A. Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 1 | 2.97 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | R. Izquierdo Luque | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Setubal | Hard | I. Montes-De La Torre | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | J. Anthrop | 2 - 1 | 1.98 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | P. Schoen | 0 - 2 | 3.15 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | G. Tabacco | 0 - 2 | 1.76 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | L. Maxted | 0 - 2 | 2.26 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | A. Soriano Barrera | 1 - 2 | 1.69 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | P. A. Tailleu | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
D. Rincon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | F. Tabacco | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | 4.50 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | T. Droguet | 1 - 2 | 3.48 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | H. Stewart | 1 - 0 RET | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Cassis | Hard | U. Blanchet | 2 - 1 | 1.99 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | M. Dhamne | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | Mallorca | Hard | I. Montes-De La Torre | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | D. Glinka | 0 - 2 | 1.81 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | T. Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | 1.96 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. Lee | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Fausto Tabacco or Daniel Rincon?
Daniel Rincon is favourite at 1.36, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon?
Fausto Tabacco is 3.00 and Daniel Rincon is 1.36, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Fausto Tabacco and Daniel Rincon?
They have met 1 time and Daniel Rincon leads 1-0.
Who will win Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model makes it Fausto Tabacco to win at 3.05 (Solid confidence).