THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerClayPorto2026-09-29 12:00

Fausto Tabacco v Daniel Rincon

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
F. Tabacco to win3.05
Worth backing at 2.84 or bigger · our chance 35% · market 31/69, us 35/65

F. Tabacco is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-4 on clay this season. D. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-11 on clay this season. F. Tabacco has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is F. Tabacco to win. We make it a 35% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.84 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. TabaccoD. Rincon
766Ranking253
7-3Last 105-5
WWLWLLast 5LLWLW
+1.9V the odds+0.5
39-18Season34-25
17-4Clay 202622-11
4Last 7 days0
1dDays rest8d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. Tabacco3.0031%
D. RinconFAV1.3669%
Market says69% Rincon

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Tabacco0
D. Rincon1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29PortoF. TabaccovD. Rincon0 - 2

This season & this event

F. Tabacco
D. Rincon
39-19
17-5
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-25
23-11
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Fausto Tabacco
Italy
Daniel Rincon
Spain
766
24
Italy
8–7
0
8–7
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
253
23
Spain
33–23
1
8–9
25–14
0–0

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Tabacco — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29PortoClayD. Rincon0 - 23.0069%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayA. Sanchez Quilez2 - 12.9769%WON
2026-09-27PortoClayR. Izquierdo Luque1 - 2——WON
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardI. Montes-De La Torre2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-23M25 SetubalHardJ. Anthrop2 - 11.9852%WON
2026-09-20M25 Sintra 2HardP. Schoen0 - 23.1570%LOST
2026-09-19M25 Sintra 2HardG. Tabacco0 - 21.7654%WON
2026-09-18M25 Sintra 2HardL. Maxted0 - 22.2659%WON
2026-09-17M25 Sintra 2HardA. Soriano Barrera1 - 21.6954%WON
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardP. A. Tailleu0 - 2——WON

D. Rincon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29PortoClayF. Tabacco0 - 21.3669%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardD. Prizmic2 - 04.5080%LOST
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)T. Droguet1 - 23.4873%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)H. Stewart1 - 0 RET1.4965%WON
2026-09-09CassisHardU. Blanchet2 - 11.9952%LOST
2026-09-08CassisHardM. Dhamne0 - 21.3969%WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardI. Montes-De La Torre0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardD. Glinka0 - 21.8154%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardT. Barrios Vera0 - 21.9651%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardJ. Lee2 - 1——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Fausto Tabacco or Daniel Rincon?

Daniel Rincon is favourite at 1.36, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon?

Fausto Tabacco is 3.00 and Daniel Rincon is 1.36, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

What is the head-to-head between Fausto Tabacco and Daniel Rincon?

They have met 1 time and Daniel Rincon leads 1-0.

Who will win Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon?

Our model makes it Fausto Tabacco to win at 3.05 (Solid confidence).

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