Anton Matusevich v Andrea Guerrieri
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Guerrieri is 6-4 over the last ten and 29-10 on clay this season. A. Matusevich is 7-3 over the last ten and 13-7 on clay this season.
The pick is A. Guerrieri to win. We make it a 59% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.70 or bigger. At 1.68 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Matusevich | A. Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| 505 | Ranking | 248 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| +1.0 | V the odds | +1.6 |
| 50-21 | Season | 51-21 |
| 13-7 | Clay 2026 | 29-10 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 5d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | A. MatusevichvA. Guerrieri | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Matusevich — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | A. Guerrieri | 1 - 2 | 2.05 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | R. Bertrand | 2 - 1 | 1.57 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | T. Cacao | 2 - 1 | 1.40 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | T. Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | 2.50 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kaouk | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | M. Ribecai | 1 - 2 | 1.52 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | C. Bittoun | 2 - 1 | 1.12 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | 2.91 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | M. Ceban | 2 - 0 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | E. Moller | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 51% | WON |
A. Guerrieri — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | A. Matusevich | 1 - 2 | 1.67 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | St. Tropez | Hard | J. De Jong | 1 - 2 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | F. Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. De Minaur | 0 - 3 | 16.14 | 94% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | A. Dougaz | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | 2.23 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | A. Holmgren | 2 - 1 | 2.06 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Kwon | 2 - 0 | 3.82 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Donski | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-09 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Anton Matusevich or Andrea Guerrieri?
Andrea Guerrieri is favourite at 1.67, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Anton Matusevich vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Anton Matusevich is 2.05 and Andrea Guerrieri is 1.67, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Anton Matusevich and Andrea Guerrieri?
They have met 1 time and Andrea Guerrieri leads 1-0.
Who will win Anton Matusevich vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model makes it Andrea Guerrieri to win at 1.68 (Lean confidence).