Alejo Sanchez Quilez v Jacob Fearnley
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONJ. Fearnley is 5-5 over the last ten and 2-3 on clay this season. A. Sanchez Quilez is 7-3 over the last ten and 22-16 on clay this season.
The pick is J. Fearnley to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.38 or bigger. At 1.28 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Sanchez Quilez | J. Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 395 | Ranking | 123 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| +0.3 | V the odds | -1.1 |
| 40-22 | Season | 29-23 |
| 22-16 | Clay 2026 | 2-3 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 27d |
| 1 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 27d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Sanchez Quilez — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | J. Fearnley | 0 - 2 | 3.60 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | F. Tabacco | 2 - 1 | 1.34 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | A. Donski | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | O. Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | 2.20 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Seville | Clay | A. Turriziani Alvarez | 0 - 2 | 1.07 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | 2.13 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | F. Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | 2.00 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-08 | M25+H Tauste | Hard | I. Almazan Valiente | 0 - 2 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-07 | M25+H Tauste | Hard | A. Shah | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-06 | M25+H Tauste | Hard | A. Colombo | 0 - 2 | 1.08 | 88% | WON |
J. Fearnley — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | 1.28 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 3 - 1 | 2.22 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Landaluce | 2 - 3 | 2.04 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | J. Rodionov | 1 - 2 | 1.66 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 1 | 1.24 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | R. Carballes Baena | 2 - 0 | 1.15 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Galarneau | 2 - 0 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | M. McDonald | 2 - 0 | 1.55 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 | 1.33 | 72% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alejo Sanchez Quilez or Jacob Fearnley?
Jacob Fearnley is favourite at 1.28, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Jacob Fearnley?
Alejo Sanchez Quilez is 3.60 and Jacob Fearnley is 1.28, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
Who will win Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model makes it Jacob Fearnley to win at 1.28 (Lean confidence).