THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerClayPorto2026-09-29 16:30

Edas Butvilas v Michael Geerts

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
E. Butvilas to win1.20
Price too short today - wait for 1.31 or bigger · our chance 77% · market 78/22, us 77/23

E. Butvilas is 6-4 over the last ten and 12-11 on clay this season. M. Geerts is 6-4 over the last ten and 6-4 on clay this season. The head to head is E. Butvilas 1-1.

The pick is E. Butvilas to win. We make it a 77% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.31 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. ButvilasM. Geerts
198Ranking305
6-4Last 106-4
LWLLWLast 5WWLLL
+0.4V the odds+1.3
34-25Season20-19
12-11Clay 20266-4
1Last 7 days2
5dDays rest1d
0Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. ButvilasFAV1.2078%
M. Geerts4.3522%
Market says78% Butvilas

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Butvilas2
M. Geerts1
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30PortoE. ButvilasvM. Geerts2 - 0
2026-02-16New DelhiE. ButvilasvM. Geerts0 - 2
2025-08-27MallorcaE. ButvilasvM. Geerts2 - 0

This season & this event

E. Butvilas
M. Geerts
35-25
13-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
20-20
6-5
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Edas Butvilas
Lithuania
Michael Geerts
Belgium
198
22
Lithuania
33–25
1
20–11
12–11
0–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
305
31
Belgium
13–11
1
12–11
1–0
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Butvilas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29PortoClayM. Geerts2 - 01.2078%WON
2026-09-24St. TropezHardH. Mayot0 - 21.7555%LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardG. Dimitrov0 - 22.9567%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryM. Kecmanovic2 - 13.2070%LOST
2026-09-11IstanbulClayM. Basing2 - 01.5759%LOST
2026-09-10IstanbulClayM. Tobon0 - 21.2873%WON
2026-09-08IstanbulClayG. Ghetu0 - 21.2179%WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardR. Bertola2 - 11.5562%WON
2026-09-01MallorcaHardS. Ofner1 - 1 RET1.8353%WON
2026-08-13Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardD. Milavsky0 - 21.4765%LOST

M. Geerts — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29PortoClayE. Butvilas2 - 04.3578%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayJ. Domingues2 - 11.5560%WON
2026-09-27PortoClayV. Orlov2 - 01.3668%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayC. Sanchez Jover0 - 22.8067%LOST
2026-08-25Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardJ. D. Hara Friend2 - 02.7966%LOST
2026-08-20Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardL. Poullain1 - 22.1254%LOST
2026-08-19Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardR. Albot2 - 11.6756%WON
2026-08-18Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardB. Blaydes2 - 01.6160%WON
2026-08-15M25 KoksijdeClayL. G. Verwerft2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-14M25 KoksijdeClayG. Blancaneaux0 - 22.3561%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Edas Butvilas or Michael Geerts?

Edas Butvilas is favourite at 1.20, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts?

Edas Butvilas is 1.20 and Michael Geerts is 4.35, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

What is the head-to-head between Edas Butvilas and Michael Geerts?

They have met 3 times and Edas Butvilas leads 2-1.

Who will win Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts?

Our model makes it Edas Butvilas to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).

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