Edas Butvilas v Michael Geerts
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONE. Butvilas is 6-4 over the last ten and 12-11 on clay this season. M. Geerts is 6-4 over the last ten and 6-4 on clay this season. The head to head is E. Butvilas 1-1.
The pick is E. Butvilas to win. We make it a 77% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.31 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| E. Butvilas | M. Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| 198 | Ranking | 305 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | WWLLL |
| +0.4 | V the odds | +1.3 |
| 34-25 | Season | 20-19 |
| 12-11 | Clay 2026 | 6-4 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 5d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | E. ButvilasvM. Geerts | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | New Delhi | E. ButvilasvM. Geerts | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-08-27 | Mallorca | E. ButvilasvM. Geerts | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
E. Butvilas — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | M. Geerts | 2 - 0 | 1.20 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | St. Tropez | Hard | H. Mayot | 0 - 2 | 1.75 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | 2.95 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | M. Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | 3.20 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Istanbul | Clay | M. Basing | 2 - 0 | 1.57 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | Istanbul | Clay | M. Tobon | 0 - 2 | 1.28 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Istanbul | Clay | G. Ghetu | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | Mallorca | Hard | R. Bertola | 2 - 1 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | S. Ofner | 1 - 1 RET | 1.83 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-08-13 | Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | D. Milavsky | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 65% | LOST |
M. Geerts — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | E. Butvilas | 2 - 0 | 4.35 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | J. Domingues | 2 - 1 | 1.55 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | V. Orlov | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Sanchez Jover | 0 - 2 | 2.80 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | 2.79 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | L. Poullain | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | R. Albot | 2 - 1 | 1.67 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | B. Blaydes | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | L. G. Verwerft | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | G. Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | 2.35 | 61% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Edas Butvilas or Michael Geerts?
Edas Butvilas is favourite at 1.20, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts?
Edas Butvilas is 1.20 and Michael Geerts is 4.35, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Edas Butvilas and Michael Geerts?
They have met 3 times and Edas Butvilas leads 2-1.
Who will win Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts?
Our model makes it Edas Butvilas to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).