Diogo Marques v Oleksii Krutykh
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTD. Marques is 4-6 over the last ten. O. Krutykh is 6-4 over the last ten and 37-19 on clay this season. O. Krutykh took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05. O. Krutykh has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is D. Marques to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 38% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.65 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Marques | O. Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| 1180 | Ranking | 571 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| +0.6 | V the odds | -0.4 |
| 6-6 | Season | 42-25 |
| 0-0 | Clay 2026 | 37-19 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 2d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | D. MarquesvO. Krutykh | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Marques — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | O. Krutykh | 0 - 2 | 10.86 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-10-09 | M15 Pontevedra | Hard | H. S. Callejon | 0 - 2 | 7.64 | 87% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | M15 Pontevedra | Hard | X. Palomar | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | M15 Pontevedra | Hard | O. Weightman | 0 - 1 RET | 3.91 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | F. Murgett | 2 - 0 | 3.85 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | M25 Sintra | Hard | F. Murgett | 2 - 1 | 3.33 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-06-03 | M15 Monastir 21 | Hard | T. Sahtali | 1 - 2 | 3.28 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-05-08 | M25 Loule | Hard | G. Marques | 2 - 1 | 2.74 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-05-07 | M25 Loule | Hard | T. Curras Abasolo | 2 - 1 | 4.36 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-05-06 | M25 Loule | Hard | J. Freitas | 1 - 0 RET | 1.03 | 94% | WON |
O. Krutykh — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | M. Karol | 2 - 1 | 1.51 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | D. Marques | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | L. Mikrut | 1 - 2 | 4.90 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Braga | Clay | J. Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | F. Pieczonka | 2 - 1 | 1.84 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | F. Rocha | 2 - 1 | 1.14 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Pardubice | Clay | Pe. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | 1.05 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Efstathiou | 1 - 2 | 1.50 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Genova | Clay | M. Giunta | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Genova | Clay | S. Popovic | 0 - 2 | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Diogo Marques or Oleksii Krutykh?
Oleksii Krutykh is favourite at 1.05, which is a 91% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Diogo Marques vs Oleksii Krutykh?
Diogo Marques is 10.86 and Oleksii Krutykh is 1.05, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.
What is the head-to-head between Diogo Marques and Oleksii Krutykh?
They have met 1 time and Oleksii Krutykh leads 1-0.
Who will win Diogo Marques vs Oleksii Krutykh?
Our model makes it Diogo Marques to win a set (Lean confidence).