ATPHard (Indoor)Almaty2026-10-21 08:00

Daniil Medvedev v Sho Shimabukuro

The market

No published price yet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. MedvedevLWWWW

S. ShimabukuroWLLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

D. Medvedev

Defending title

S. Shimabukuro

45-17

36-10

Champion

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

31-28

22-23

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniil Medvedev

World

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan

World

42–17

31–10

5–4

6–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

109

Japan

30–27

21–21

0–2

7–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Medvedev — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-17	Shanghai	Hard	R. Jodar	1.55	63%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 MedvedevJodarPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%60%Return points won40%46%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved3 of 74 of 6Aces36Double faults42
2026-10-16	Shanghai	Hard	T. Paul	1.47	66%	WON
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-3 MedvedevPaulPoints won52%48%Serve points won60%57%Return points won43%40%Games held9 of 129 of 13Break points saved11 of 148 of 12Aces167Double faults81
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	S. Tsitsipas	1.45	67%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 MedvedevTsitsipasPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 05 of 7Aces84Double faults11
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	D. Svrcina	1.13	86%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MedvedevSvrcinaPoints won56%44%Serve points won64%50%Return points won50%36%Games held7 of 84 of 9Break points saved3 of 44 of 9Aces62Double faults56
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	J-L. Struff	1.14	85%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-3 MedvedevStruffPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%62%Return points won38%28%Games held13 of 1511 of 14Break points saved4 of 63 of 6Aces217Double faults51
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	F. Cerundolo	1.42	69%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MedvedevCerundoloPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%59%Return points won41%24%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved1 of 27 of 9Aces100Double faults12
2026-10-03	Beijing	Hard	J-L. Struff	1.17	83%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 MedvedevStruffPoints won55%45%Serve points won74%58%Return points won42%26%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved2 of 26 of 9Aces106Double faults22
2026-10-01	Beijing	Hard	P. Carreno-Busta	1.26	77%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MedvedevCarreno-BustaPoints won60%40%Serve points won76%54%Return points won46%24%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved3 of 33 of 6Aces121Double faults21
2026-09-29	Hangzhou	Hard	A. Rublev	1.50	65%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 MedvedevRublevPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%67%Return points won33%28%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 25 of 7Aces234Double faults21
2026-09-28	Hangzhou	Hard	R. Safiullin	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 MedvedevSafiullinPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%60%Return points won40%31%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 55 of 8Aces76Double faults32

S. Shimabukuro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-20	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	R. Safiullin	6.14	84%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-4 ShimabukuroSafiullinPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held15 of 1613 of 16Break points saved3 of 43 of 6Aces918Double faults15
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Kecmanovic	3.02	68%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 ShimabukuroKecmanovicPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%71%Return points won29%44%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved6 of 91 of 1Aces64Double faults00
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	D. Shapovalov	3.42	72%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 1-6 ShimabukuroShapovalovPoints won39%61%Serve points won50%72%Return points won28%50%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved3 of 75 of 6Aces111Double faults62
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	H. Gaston	2.24	57%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ShimabukuroGastonPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%68%Return points won32%38%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved3 of 64 of 5Aces43Double faults31
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	A. Shepp	1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 ShimabukuroSheppPoints won55%45%Serve points won68%57%Return points won43%32%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 14 of 8Aces35Double faults23
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	J. Watt	1.24	76%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-4 ShimabukuroWattPoints won52%48%Serve points won75%71%Return points won29%25%Games held13 of 1412 of 14Break points saved4 of 55 of 7Aces621Double faults32
2026-08-30	US Open	Hard	A. Rinderknech	3.90	75%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 2-6 6-7 2-6 ShimabukuroRinderknechPoints won44%56%Serve points won61%76%Return points won24%39%Games held15 of 2019 of 20Break points saved7 of 121 of 2Aces1115Double faults93
2026-08-23	Winston-Salem	Hard	M. Kecmanovic	2.98	67%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 ShimabukuroKecmanovicPoints won44%56%Serve points won51%65%Return points won35%49%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved3 of 70 of 2Aces33Double faults46
2026-08-14	Cincinnati	Hard	H. Hurkacz	3.74	75%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 ShimabukuroHurkaczPoints won41%59%Serve points won56%79%Return points won21%44%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved2 of 52 of 2Aces213Double faults31
2026-08-13	Cincinnati	Hard	J.J. Wolf	2.12	55%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 5-7 ShimabukuroWolfPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%62%Return points won38%44%Games held10 of 1511 of 15Break points saved6 of 114 of 8Aces35Double faults44

Also at this event

Duckworth v Darderi Mannarino v Rublev Acosta v Basilashvili Tsitsipas v Kukushkin