THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-05 10:30

Dane Sweeny v Tristan Schoolkate

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
T. Schoolkate to win1.65
Worth backing at 1.65 or bigger · our chance 61% · market 42/58, us 39/61

T. Schoolkate is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-21 on hard this season. D. Sweeny is 4-6 over the last ten and 22-21 on hard this season. The head to head is D. Sweeny 1-2.

The pick is T. Schoolkate to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.65 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. SweenyT. Schoolkate
123Ranking180
4-6Last 106-4
LWWLLLast 5LWLLW
-0.3V the odds-0.1
28-25Season33-27
22-21Hard 202625-21
3Last 7 days2
3dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. Sweeny2.2942%
T. SchoolkateFAV1.6558%
Market says58% Schoolkate

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Sweeny2
T. Schoolkate2
Head to head4 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05ShanghaiD. SweenyvT. Schoolkate2 - 1
2026-02-08BrisbaneD. SweenyvT. Schoolkate2 - 1
2022-03-25M25 Canberra 3T. SchoolkatevD. Sweeny2 - 0
2022-03-02M25 BendigoT. SchoolkatevD. Sweeny2 - 0

This season & this event

D. Sweeny
T. Schoolkate
29-26
23-22
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-28
25-22
Lost R128 to D. Altmaier
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Dane Sweeny
Australia
Tristan Schoolkate
Australia
123
25
Australia
26–23
1
20–19
0–1
6–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
180
25
Australia
28–24
0
18–17
6–3
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Sweeny — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardK. Coppejans0 - 21.6757%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardT. Schoolkate2 - 12.2958%WON
2026-10-02JingshanHardA. Bolt2 - 01.7057%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardP. Bar Biryukov0 - 21.3767%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardO. Jasika1 - 21.4666%WON
2026-09-24HangzhouHardT. Daniel0 - 22.3960%LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardL. Darderi3 - 0——LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardL. Musetti3 - 1——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardC. Moutet2 - 0 RET——WON
2026-08-18Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardJ. De Jong2 - 0——LOST

T. Schoolkate — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardD. Sweeny2 - 11.6558%LOST
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Mayot2 - 12.3760%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)P. Henning0 - 21.4066%WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardM. Martineau2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-19RennesHard (Indoor)H. Mayot0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18RennesHard (Indoor)M. Bobichon0 - 2——WON
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)A. Matusevich1 - 2——WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)M. Gengel0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardF. Cobolli1 - 3——LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardN. Basavareddy1 - 3——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Dane Sweeny or Tristan Schoolkate?

Tristan Schoolkate is favourite at 1.65, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Dane Sweeny vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Dane Sweeny is 2.29 and Tristan Schoolkate is 1.65, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Dane Sweeny and Tristan Schoolkate?

They have met 4 times and they are level at 2-2.

Who will win Dane Sweeny vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Our model makes it Tristan Schoolkate to win at 1.65 (Lean confidence).

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