THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-10 04:00

Botic Van De Zandschulp v Alex Michelsen

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Michelsen to win1.52
Price too short today - wait for 1.60 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 36/64, us 37/63

A. Michelsen is 6-4 over the last ten and 27-13 on hard this season. B. Van De Zandschulp is 7-3 over the last ten and 18-14 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Michelsen to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.52 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. Van De ZandschulpA. Michelsen
40Ranking34
7-3Last 106-4
WLWWLLast 5LLWWW
+1.0V the odds+0.4
29-23Season35-21
18-14Hard 202627-13
1Last 7 days0
3dDays rest10d
1Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. Van De Zandschulp2.7136%
A. MichelsenFAV1.5264%
Market says64% Michelsen

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Van De Zandschulp1
A. Michelsen0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10ShanghaiB. Van De ZandschulpvA. Michelsen2 - 0

This season & this event

B. Van De Zandschulp
A. Michelsen
30-23
19-14
Lost R128 to N. Borges
Lost R64 to T. M. Etcheverry
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-22
27-14
Lost R64 to A. Rinderknech
Lost R64 to N. Djokovic

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Netherlands
Alex Michelsen
USA
40
31
Netherlands
27–22
0
17–12
7–7
2–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
34
22
USA
35–20
1
26–11
6–7
3–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Van De Zandschulp — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Michelsen2 - 02.7164%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardD. Merida Aguilar2 - 11.9350%WON
2026-10-01BeijingHardF. Cerundolo1 - 22.2057%LOST
2026-09-29BeijingHardJ. Cui2 - 01.1979%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardV. Royer2 - 1——WON
2026-09-25ChengduHardN. Basilashvili2 - 01.5164%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. A. Rodriguez2 - 1——WON
2026-09-09US OpenHardA. Zverev3 - 07.3387%LOST
2026-09-07US OpenHardA. Gea2 - 31.6559%WON
2026-09-05US OpenHardZ. Bergs2 - 31.5463%WON

A. Michelsen — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 01.5264%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardC. Alcaraz2 - 15.7983%LOST
2026-09-08US OpenHardF. Tiafoe3 - 22.3659%LOST
2026-09-06US OpenHardT. M. Etcheverry3 - 01.3771%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardD. Merida Aguilar3 - 01.5364%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardB. Nakashima0 - 32.9967%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardF. Cina3 - 01.2280%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardT. Fritz2 - 02.3859%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardJ. De Jong2 - 01.2081%WON
2026-08-07MontrealHardD. Merida Aguilar2 - 11.3672%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Botic Van De Zandschulp or Alex Michelsen?

Alex Michelsen is favourite at 1.52, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is 2.71 and Alex Michelsen is 1.52, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Botic Van De Zandschulp and Alex Michelsen?

They have met 1 time and Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0.

Who will win Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen?

Our model makes it Alex Michelsen to win at 1.52 (Lean confidence).

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