THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-23 07:30

Bernard Tomic v Fajing Sun

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
F. Sun to win2.49
Worth backing at 2.39 or bigger · our chance 42% · market 63/37, us 58/42

F. Sun is 6-4 over the last ten and 27-21 on hard this season. B. Tomic is 6-4 over the last ten and 24-17 on hard this season. B. Tomic has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is F. Sun to win. We make it a 42% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.39 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. TomicF. Sun
185Ranking197
6-4Last 106-4
WLWWWLast 5WLWLW
-0.5V the odds+0.1
29-23Season27-24
24-17Hard 202627-21
4Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. TomicFAV1.4965%
F. Sun2.7135%
Market says65% Tomic

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

F. SunLWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Tomic0
F. Sun1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-23HangzhouB. TomicvF. Sun0 - 2

This season & this event

B. Tomic
F. Sun
29-24
24-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-25
28-22
Lost R32 to G. Zeppieri
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Bernard Tomic
Australia
Fajing Sun
China
185
33
Australia
25–22
1
20–16
2–2
3–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
197
29
China
19–11
1
19–11
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Tomic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.4965%LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardR. Te2 - 11.1481%WON
2026-09-19Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov2 - 02.1655%LOST
2026-09-18Guangzhou 2HardA. Binda2 - 01.1480%WON
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardJa. Delaney2 - 01.2574%WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardY. Kikuchi2 - 01.1286%WON
2026-09-09ShanghaiHardI. Ivashka1 - 22.0555%LOST
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardA. Santillan2 - 01.3372%WON
2026-09-03ZhangjiagangHardK. Samrej0 - 21.2971%LOST
2026-09-01ZhangjiagangHardM. Imamura2 - 11.4964%WON

F. Sun — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-24HangzhouHardR. Safiullin0 - 24.8680%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardB. Tomic0 - 22.7165%WON
2026-09-22HangzhouHardM. Dellavedova2 - 11.5062%WON
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardA. Binda2 - 11.2772%LOST
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardA. Galarneau2 - 13.0969%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardJ. Cui2 - 01.5360%LOST
2026-09-02ZhangjiagangHardH. Liu2 - 0——WON
2026-08-31ZhangjiagangHardWu Tung-Lin2 - 12.3159%WON
2026-08-14AstanaHardH. Matsuoka0 - 22.2758%LOST
2026-08-12AstanaHardS. Pankin2 - 11.6160%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Bernard Tomic or Fajing Sun?

Bernard Tomic is favourite at 1.49, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun?

Bernard Tomic is 1.49 and Fajing Sun is 2.71, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Bernard Tomic and Fajing Sun?

They have met 1 time and Fajing Sun leads 1-0.

Who will win Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun?

Our model makes it Fajing Sun to win at 2.49 (Solid confidence).

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