THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai · 1/32-finals2026-10-10 04:00

Ben Shelton v Daniel Altmaier

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
B. Shelton to win1.12
Price too short today - wait for 1.18 or bigger · our chance 85% · market 86/14, us 85/15

B. Shelton is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-8 on hard this season. D. Altmaier is 4-6 over the last ten and 4-13 on hard this season. The head to head is B. Shelton 0-1.

The pick is B. Shelton to win. We make it a 85% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.18 or bigger. At 1.12 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. SheltonD. Altmaier
9Ranking57
6-4Last 104-6
LLLWWLast 5WLLLL
-0.4V the odds+0.6
40-16Season21-29
25-8Hard 20264-13
0Last 7 days1
21dDays rest3d
0Wins here1
21d outFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. SheltonFAV1.1187%
D. Altmaier7.2213%
Market says87% Shelton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Shelton1
D. Altmaier1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09ShanghaiB. SheltonvD. Altmaier2 - 0
2026-05-19HamburgD. AltmaiervB. Shelton2 - 1

This season & this event

B. Shelton
D. Altmaier
41-17
26-9
Lost R64 to D. Goffin
Lost R16 to J. Sinner
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
21-30
4-14
Lost R64 to J. Sinner
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Ben Shelton
USA
Daniel Altmaier
Germany
9
24
USA
39–14
4
25–7
8–5
6–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
57
28
Germany
20–27
0
3–10
13–13
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Shelton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardA. Gea0 - 21.3672%LOST
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardD. Altmaier2 - 01.1187%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Mensik2 - 11.6957%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Lehecka2 - 01.5760%LOST
2026-09-13US OpenHardA. Zverev3 - 12.3659%LOST
2026-09-11US OpenHardF. Tiafoe1 - 31.3672%WON
2026-09-08US OpenHardC. Alcaraz3 - 24.1076%WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardS. Tsitsipas3 - 01.3473%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardD. Shapovalov3 - 11.2578%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardH. Hurkacz3 - 11.4368%WON

D. Altmaier — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardB. Shelton2 - 07.2287%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardH. Rune1 - 22.8266%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardJ. Cui2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsD. Prizmic0 - 22.3960%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardZ. Svajda3 - 12.3859%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardI. Buse0 - 22.1354%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardF. Comesana2 - 02.0052%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardL. Musetti0 - 24.3278%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardC. Wong1 - 22.2858%WON
2026-08-05MontrealHardB. Nakashima2 - 03.8575%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ben Shelton or Daniel Altmaier?

Ben Shelton is favourite at 1.11, which is a 87% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier?

Ben Shelton is 1.11 and Daniel Altmaier is 7.22, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Ben Shelton and Daniel Altmaier?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier?

Our model makes it Ben Shelton to win at 1.12 (Lean confidence).

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