Arthur Gea v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongVOIDA. Gea is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-8 on hard this season. A. Davidovich Fokina is 8-2 over the last ten and 23-10 on hard this season. A. Davidovich Fokina took a medical timeout on 2026-10-11.
The pick is A. Gea to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.77 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Gea | A. Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Ranking | 28 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| +2.6 | V the odds | +1.8 |
| 49-18 | Season | 30-16 |
| 32-8 | Hard 2026 | 23-10 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 4 | Wins here | 3 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Gea — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 0 RET | 1.98 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Mensik | 2 - 0 | 2.48 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | 3.44 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Faria | 2 - 1 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | Z. Zhang | 0 - 2 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | T. Machac | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | R. Te | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | 2.40 | 59% | LOST |
A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Gea | 0 - 0 RET | 1.93 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | 1.96 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2 - 0 | 1.44 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | M. Berrettini | 1 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Muller | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 56% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Gea or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favourite at 1.93, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Arthur Gea is 1.98 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1.93, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
Who will win Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model makes it Arthur Gea to win at 1.98 (Strong confidence).