Anton Matusevich v Tiago Cacao
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONT. Cacao is 7-3 over the last ten and 3-3 on clay this season. A. Matusevich is 6-4 over the last ten and 11-7 on clay this season.
The pick is T. Cacao to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Matusevich | T. Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| 505 | Ranking | 883 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWLWL | Last 5 | LLWWW |
| +0.2 | V the odds | +1.5 |
| 48-21 | Season | 22-21 |
| 11-7 | Clay 2026 | 3-3 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 10d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head - |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | A. MatusevichvT. Cacao | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-05-25 | M25 Mataro | T. CacaovA. Matusevich | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Matusevich — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | R. Bertrand | 2 - 1 | 1.57 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | T. Cacao | 2 - 1 | 1.40 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | T. Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | 2.50 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kaouk | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | M. Ribecai | 1 - 2 | 1.52 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | C. Bittoun | 2 - 1 | 1.12 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | 2.91 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | M. Ceban | 2 - 0 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | E. Moller | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | Y. Shimizu | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 55% | WON |
T. Cacao — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | A. Matusevich | 2 - 1 | 2.73 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | 2.29 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | P. Schoen | 2 - 0 | 3.02 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | A. Deckers | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 2.61 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | B. T. George | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | M25 Sintra | Hard | O. Weightman | 2 - 0 | 1.88 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | M25 Sintra | Hard | A. Burdet | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | 4.72 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Porto 2 | Clay | A. Ayeni | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 56% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Anton Matusevich or Tiago Cacao?
Anton Matusevich is favourite at 1.40, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Anton Matusevich vs Tiago Cacao?
Anton Matusevich is 1.40 and Tiago Cacao is 2.73, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Anton Matusevich and Tiago Cacao?
They have met 2 times and Anton Matusevich leads 2-0.
Who will win Anton Matusevich vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model makes it Tiago Cacao to win a set (Lean confidence).