THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai · 1/32-finals2026-10-10 04:00

Alexander Zverev v Yibing Wu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
A. Zverev to win1.12
Price too short today - wait for 1.18 or bigger · our chance 85% · market 86/14, us 85/15

A. Zverev is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-10 on hard this season. Y. Wu is 6-4 over the last ten and 18-11 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Zverev to win. We make it a 85% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.18 or bigger. At 1.12 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. ZverevY. Wu
2Ranking179
8-2Last 106-4
LWWWLLast 5WLWWL
-0.3V the odds+0.3
58-15Season28-19
32-10Hard 202618-11
1Last 7 days1
6dDays rest3d
0Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. ZverevFAV1.1187%
Y. Wu7.2113%
Market says87% Zverev

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Y. WuLWLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Zverev1
Y. Wu0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09ShanghaiA. ZverevvY. Wu2 - 0

This season & this event

A. Zverev
Y. Wu
60-15
34-10
Lost R32 to A. Rinderknech
Lost R16 to D. Goffin
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-20
18-12
Lost R128 to D. Svrcina
Lost R32 to C. Alcaraz

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alexander Zverev
Germany
Yibing Wu
China
2
29
Germany
56–14
2
25–8
20–4
9–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
179
26
China
1–1
0
1–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Zverev — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardQ. Halys2 - 11.1584%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardY. Wu2 - 01.1187%WON
2026-10-04BeijingHardN. Djokovic1 - 21.3871%LOST
2026-10-02BeijingHardJ. Shang2 - 01.0790%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardC. Norrie2 - 01.1286%WON
2026-09-27ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)L. Tien2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)A. De Minaur1 - 21.3074%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsD. Prizmic2 - 01.0987%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsM. Dodig2 - 01.0394%WON
2026-09-13US OpenHardB. Shelton3 - 11.6759%WON

Y. Wu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Zverev2 - 07.2187%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardM. Zheng2 - 01.7556%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardC. Alcaraz0 - 312.7892%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardJ. Duckworth0 - 31.6858%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardA. Walton3 - 02.1956%WON
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardF. Comesana2 - 01.6061%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardJ. Faria2 - 01.8552%LOST
2026-08-12CincinnatiHardM. McDonald1 - 21.5164%WON
2026-07-17LincolnHardY. Bu0 - 21.6558%LOST
2026-07-15LincolnHardC. Langmo0 - 21.1583%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alexander Zverev or Yibing Wu?

Alexander Zverev is favourite at 1.11, which is a 87% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu?

Alexander Zverev is 1.11 and Yibing Wu is 7.21, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Alexander Zverev and Yibing Wu?

They have met 1 time and Alexander Zverev leads 1-0.

Who will win Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu?

Our model makes it Alexander Zverev to win at 1.12 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event