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ATPHardShanghai2026-10-05 09:00

Alexander Shevchenko v Yoshihito Nishioka

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
Y. Nishioka to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.49 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 64/36, us 61/39

Y. Nishioka is 1-5 over the last ten and 1-4 on hard this season. A. Shevchenko is 2-8 over the last ten and 18-20 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Shevchenko 0-1.

The pick is Y. Nishioka to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.49 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. ShevchenkoY. Nishioka
85Ranking116
2-8Last 101-5
LLWLLLast 5LLLLW
-0.2V the odds-
27-33Season1-5
18-20Hard 20261-4
0Last 7 days1
12dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. ShevchenkoFAV1.5164%
Y. Nishioka2.6436%
Market says64% Shevchenko

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Shevchenko0
Y. Nishioka2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05ShanghaiA. ShevchenkovY. Nishioka0 - 2
2025-10-01ShanghaiY. NishiokavA. Shevchenko2 - 0

This season & this event

A. Shevchenko
Y. Nishioka
27-34
18-21
Lost R128 to Y. Nishioka
Lost R32 to J. Mensik
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
2-6
2-5
Lost R32 to J. Munar
Lost R128 to Y. Zhou

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alexander Shevchenko
Kazakhstan
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan
85
25
Kazakhstan
15–16
0
11–10
4–5
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
116
31
Japan
0–1
0
0–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Shevchenko — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardY. Nishioka0 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-09-23ChengduHardH. Hurkacz0 - 25.0181%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Samrej1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Jones2 - 1——WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardD. Prizmic3 - 2——LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardC. O'Connell0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-11CincinnatiHardP. Llamas Ruiz2 - 0——WON
2026-08-01MontrealHardK. Jacquet1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-21KitzbuhelclayJ-L. Struff2 - 1——LOST

Y. Nishioka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardD. Svrcina0 - 0 RET2.4360%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardA. Shevchenko0 - 22.6464%WON
2026-09-28TokyoHardS. Tsitsipas2 - 0——LOST
2026-02-14Delray BeachHardC. Wong0 - 2——LOST
2026-02-07ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Rodionov1 - 2——LOST
2026-01-14Australian OpenHardG. Loffhagen0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-01-12Australian OpenHardN. Fatic2 - 0——WON
2026-01-05CanberraHardK. Jacquet2 - 1——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alexander Shevchenko or Yoshihito Nishioka?

Alexander Shevchenko is favourite at 1.51, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka?

Alexander Shevchenko is 1.51 and Yoshihito Nishioka is 2.64, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Alexander Shevchenko and Yoshihito Nishioka?

They have met 2 times and Yoshihito Nishioka leads 2-0.

Who will win Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka?

Our model makes it Yoshihito Nishioka to win a set (Lean confidence).

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