Alex Molcan v Taylor Fritz
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanA. Molcan is 8-2 over the last ten and 18-10 on hard this season. T. Fritz is 7-3 over the last ten and 30-16 on hard this season. A. Molcan withdrew from a match in the last month. T. Fritz took a medical timeout on 2026-10-24. T. Fritz has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Molcan 0-1.
The pick is A. Molcan to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.76 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Molcan | T. Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| 84 | Ranking | 14 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| +2.1 | V the odds | +0.0 |
| 38-21 | Season | 41-21 |
| 18-10 | Hard 2026 | 30-16 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| withdrew | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-02 | Wimbledon | A. MolcanvT. Fritz | 4-6 1-6 6-7 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Molcan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | T. Droguet | 1.78 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-4 MolcanDroguetPoints won52%48%Serve points won66%62%Return points won38%34%Games held13 of 1512 of 15Break points saved2 of 45 of 8Aces220Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | N. Borges | 2.32 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 MolcanBorgesPoints won56%44%Serve points won71%58%Return points won42%29%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved1 of 26 of 9Aces38Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | D. Altmaier | 1.78 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 MolcanAltmaierPoints won55%45%Serve points won77%63%Return points won37%23%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved0 of 04 of 5Aces310Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. Mannarino | 1.61 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 2-6 MolcanMannarinoPoints won45%55%Serve points won53%61%Return points won39%47%Games held5 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 71 of 3Aces47Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | H. Medjedovic | 2.30 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 MolcanMedjedovicPoints won62%38%Serve points won88%56%Return points won44%12%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces138Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Cina | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-1 6-2 MolcanCinaPoints won56%44%Serve points won67%51%Return points won49%33%Games held9 of 126 of 13Break points saved2 of 57 of 14Aces611Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | K. Khachanov | 4.20 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 MolcanKhachanovPoints won41%59%Serve points won67%85%Return points won15%33%Games held8 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 30 of 0Aces17Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 0 | 2.45 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | T. Machac | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 MolcanMachacPoints won64%36%Serve points won82%52%Return points won48%18%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 03 of 6Aces52Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 1.68 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 MolcanTrungellitiPoints won58%42%Serve points won66%52%Return points won48%34%Games held9 of 117 of 11Break points saved9 of 113 of 7Aces53Double faults11 | |||||||
T. Fritz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | B. Bonzi | 1.25 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-4 FritzBonziPoints won52%48%Serve points won71%70%Return points won30%29%Games held13 of 1412 of 14Break points saved5 of 60 of 2Aces208Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fils | RET | 1.97 | 51% | WON |
Games in each set6-2 2-0 FritzFilsPoints won67%33%Serve points won77%41%Return points won59%23%Games held4 of 51 of 5Break points saved1 of 24 of 8Aces70Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | V. Vacherot | 1.33 | 74% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 FritzVacherotPoints won47%53%Serve points won69%71%Return points won29%31%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved2 of 42 of 3Aces1110Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | D. Shapovalov | 1.53 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 FritzShapovalovPoints won56%44%Serve points won74%59%Return points won41%26%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved3 of 38 of 10Aces28Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | R. Hijikata | 1.12 | 86% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 FritzHijikataPoints won55%45%Serve points won75%65%Return points won35%25%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved1 of 14 of 5Aces196Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | L. Musetti | 1.49 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 FritzMusettiPoints won43%57%Serve points won63%73%Return points won27%37%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved2 of 40 of 0Aces64Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | T. Paul | 1.55 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 FritzPaulPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved9 of 91 of 3Aces151Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | D. Altmaier | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 FritzAltmaierPoints won57%43%Serve points won84%64%Return points won36%16%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 04 of 6Aces57Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | P. Herbert | 1.22 | 79% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-5 FritzHerbertPoints won58%42%Serve points won81%57%Return points won43%19%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 08 of 11Aces55Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 1.65 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 3-6 FritzTsitsipasPoints won50%50%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved6 of 88 of 9Aces2315Double faults42 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Molcan or Taylor Fritz?
Taylor Fritz is favourite at 1.24, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz?
Alex Molcan is 4.54 and Taylor Fritz is 1.24, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Molcan and Taylor Fritz?
They have met 1 time and Taylor Fritz leads 1-0.
Who will win Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz?
Our model makes it Alex Molcan to win a set (Lean confidence).