Alex Bolt v Lloyd Harris
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONL. Harris is 9-1 over the last ten and 37-10 on hard this season. A. Bolt is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-16 on hard this season. A. Bolt took a medical timeout on 2026-10-03. A. Bolt retired from a match in the last month. A. Bolt has played 4 matches in seven days. L. Harris has played 5 matches in seven days.
The pick is L. Harris to win 2-0. We make it a 59% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.69 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Bolt | L. Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| 183 | Ranking | 136 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| +1.0 | V the odds | +2.1 |
| 23-22 | Season | 40-14 |
| 18-16 | Hard 2026 | 37-10 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 5 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTOretired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | A. BoltvL. Harris | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Bolt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Harris | 0 - 2 | 5.51 | 83% | LOST |
| 2026-10-03 | Jingshan | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 1 RET | 4.39 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Jingshan | Hard | D. Sweeny | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | E. Zhu | 2 - 1 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | S. Pankin | 2 - 0 | 1.31 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 | 3.56 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 1 | 1.45 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Lexington | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
L. Harris — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Wong | 2 - 1 | 1.62 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Bolt | 0 - 2 | 1.16 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Jingshan | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | 1.76 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-10-03 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Bolt | 1 - 1 RET | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | 1.22 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | 1.20 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Galarneau | 2 - 0 | 1.25 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 2.38 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | V. Vacherot | 0 - 2 | 2.01 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | 1.52 | 63% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Bolt or Lloyd Harris?
Lloyd Harris is favourite at 1.16, which is a 83% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris?
Alex Bolt is 5.51 and Lloyd Harris is 1.16, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Bolt and Lloyd Harris?
They have met 1 time and Lloyd Harris leads 1-0.
Who will win Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model makes it Lloyd Harris to win 2-0 at 1.50 (Lean confidence).