Alex Bolt v Akira Santillan
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Santillan is 4-6 over the last ten and 22-21 on hard this season. A. Bolt is 3-7 over the last ten and 14-14 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Bolt 1-0.
The pick is A. Santillan to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Bolt | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| 169 | Ranking | 319 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| -2.1 | V the odds | -1.0 |
| 19-20 | Season | 31-26 |
| 14-14 | Hard 2026 | 22-21 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | A. BoltvA. Santillan | 2 - 1 |
| 2019-05-02 | Seoul | A. BoltvA. Santillan | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Bolt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 | 3.56 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 1 | 1.45 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 2 | 3.32 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Lexington | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | 2.11 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-07-26 | Washington | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 3.15 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington | Hard | J. McCabe | 0 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | 1.84 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Halle | Grass | M. Bellucci | 2 - 1 | 2.32 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-06-13 | Halle | Grass | J. Mackenzie | 1 - 2 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
A. Santillan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | 2.87 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | K. Kang | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | 3.72 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | Y. Zeng | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | 3.50 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | I. Ivashka | 1 - 2 | 3.20 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | O. Jasika | 0 - 2 | 2.56 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M25 Taipei 2 | Hard | S. Shin | 2 - 0 | 1.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Istanbul 2 (Turkey) | Hard | A. Ghibaudo | 0 - 2 | 2.14 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Istanbul 2 (Turkey) | Hard | D. Singh | 2 - 1 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Bolt or Akira Santillan?
Alex Bolt is favourite at 1.45, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan?
Alex Bolt is 1.45 and Akira Santillan is 2.87, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Bolt and Akira Santillan?
They have met 2 times and Alex Bolt leads 2-0.
Who will win Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan?
Our model makes it Akira Santillan to win a set (Lean confidence).