THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-10 04:00

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jenson Brooksby

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
A. Davidovich Fokina to win1.43
Price too short today - wait for 1.47 or bigger · our chance 68% · market 68/32, us 68/32

A. Davidovich Fokina is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-10 on hard this season. J. Brooksby is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-16 on hard this season. A. Davidovich Fokina took a medical timeout on 2026-09-29. The head to head is A. Davidovich Fokina 1-1.

The pick is A. Davidovich Fokina to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.47 or bigger. At 1.43 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Davidovich FokinaJ. Brooksby
28Ranking77
7-3Last 105-5
LWWWWLast 5WLWWL
+0.6V the odds-0.0
27-16Season15-23
20-10Hard 202612-16
0Last 7 days1
10dDays rest3d
0Wins here1
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Davidovich FokinaFAV1.4467%
J. Brooksby2.9733%
Market says67% Fokina

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Davidovich Fokina2
J. Brooksby1
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09ShanghaiA. Davidovich FokinavJ. Brooksby2 - 0
2025-10-22BaselJ. BrooksbyvA. Davidovich Fokina1 - 2
2021-10-22AntwerpJ. BrooksbyvA. Davidovich Fokina2 - 0

This season & this event

A. Davidovich Fokina
J. Brooksby
29-16
22-10
Lost R32 to D. Medvedev
Lost R64 to T. Machac
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
15-24
12-17
Lost R64 to T. Griekspoor
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Spain
Jenson Brooksby
USA
28
27
Spain
26–15
1
12–7
5–5
9–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
77
25
USA
12–22
0
8–12
0–6
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardF. Tiafoe2 - 11.9650%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardJ. Brooksby2 - 01.4467%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardM. Berrettini1 - 21.6758%LOST
2026-09-29ChengduHardH. Hurkacz0 - 22.2257%WON
2026-09-28ChengduHardN. Basilashvili1 - 2——WON
2026-09-27ChengduHardA. Muller0 - 21.3372%WON
2026-09-26ChengduHardJ. M. Cerundolo0 - 21.6758%WON
2026-07-16UmagclayA. Molcan2 - 11.7356%LOST
2026-07-15UmagclayM. Trungelliti0 - 21.3870%WON
2026-07-05WimbledonGrassF. Auger-Aliassime3 - 22.4660%LOST

J. Brooksby — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Davidovich Fokina2 - 02.9767%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardJ. Munar0 - 22.5562%WON
2026-09-27ChengduHardN. Basilashvili0 - 21.8453%LOST
2026-09-25ChengduHardL. Sonego2 - 11.7854%WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardS. Baez0 - 21.6459%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardJ. Faria3 - 21.8453%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardS. Tsitsipas0 - 22.3359%LOST
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardG. Mpetshi Perricard0 - 21.5463%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardJ. Faria2 - 01.6957%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardB. Shelton0 - 23.5673%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Jenson Brooksby?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favourite at 1.44, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1.44 and Jenson Brooksby is 2.97, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jenson Brooksby?

They have met 3 times and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2-1.

Who will win Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby?

Our model makes it Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win at 1.43 (Lean confidence).

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