Does Novig pay out if a tennis player retires?
Yes, once the first set is complete - the contract settles on the player who advances per the official records. Before that, every contract is voided.
Prediction markets · settlement rules
Novig tennis retirement and disqualification rules
The one prediction market here that behaves like a sportsbook: one completed set and the contract settles on whoever advances, and anything earlier - retirement, default or walkover alike - voids rather than resolving at a price.
| Retirement | Disqualification | Walkover |
|---|---|---|
| stands after one set | stands after one set | void |
Retirement and disqualification are written into the same sentence here, so the cause makes no difference to how you are paid.
The rule, in their words
“If, after Commencement and after at least the first set has been completed, a <participant> retires, withdraws, is defaulted, is disqualified, or otherwise fails to complete the match, and the opposing <participant> is declared the winner or advances per the official records of the Source Agency, the opposing <participant> is the winner.”
Read and verified on Novig’s own published rules, 2026-10-05. Operators change these without notice, so we re-read them each time this page is updated.
Walkovers
“Retirement, withdrawal, default, disqualification, or walkover occurring after Commencement but before the completion of the first set is treated as non-participation, and all Contracts are settled to Void regardless of any winner declared by the Source Agency.”
Other markets
A forfeit is explicitly not enough on its own: "A winner recorded by the Governing Body by reason of forfeit ... is not an official winner for purposes of this Contract." A contest that does not start on its scheduled day voids unless it begins within 48 hours (45 days for a Grand Slam), and an outcome already determined before an interruption still settles.
Worth knowing
Quoted from the ATP Winner contract, code ATP-001. Novig's general market rules were withdrawn when it became CFTC-regulated and per- contract terms replaced them, so other contracts may differ. It is also the one prediction market that voids a walkover rather than pricing it.
Common questions
Does Novig resolve a tennis walkover at 50-50?
No, Novig voids it. A walkover is grouped with a pre-first-set retirement as non-participation, so all contracts settle to Void. That makes Novig the odd one out among prediction markets.
Is there a single Novig tennis rule for every market?
No. Novig withdrew its general market rules on becoming CFTC- regulated and replaced them with per-contract terms. This clause is from the ATP Winner contract.