ATP Tokyo 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and Surface
The ATP Tokyo main draw begins on 30 September, with Carlos Alcaraz and Jiri Lehecka leading the field. 12 players and 9 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the ATP Tokyo?
The tournament starts on 30 September, with the final on 6 October.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Tokyo?
Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite with a 68.9% chance of the title, ahead of Jiri Lehecka on 31.1%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz 1 | 68.9% | 1.5 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 31.1% | 3.2 |
What is the surface at the ATP Tokyo?
The tournament is played on hard court at the Ariake Tennis Forest Park in Tokyo.
How this court plays.
Servers held
+1.4% vs tour average 80.9%
1st serve points won
+1.3% vs tour average 73.1%
Sets to a tiebreak
+5.3% vs tour average 19.7%
Aces
+0.15 vs tour average 0.47
ATP match statistics, 2025 edition
What is the weather forecast for the ATP Tokyo?
Forecast for Tokyo, updated every build.
| Day | High | Low | Rain | Wind km/h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 September | 21° | 18° | 100% | 14 |
| 1 October | 28° | 19° | 55% | 15 |
| 2 October | 23° | 19° | 98% | 15 |
| 3 October | 23° | 18° | 4% | 15 |
| 4 October | 22° | 17° | 12% | 14 |
| 5 October | 21° | 18° | 78% | 16 |
| 6 October | 26° | 20° | 12% | 16 |
Who won the ATP Tokyo in 2025?
Carlos Alcaraz won it in 2025, beating Taylor Fritz 2-0. Back to defend the title this year.
Which players come to the ATP Tokyo in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 9-1 | 90% |
| Jiri Lehecka | 7-1 | 88% |
| Kyrian Jacquet | 6-2 | 75% |
| Jaume Munar | 7-3 | 70% |
| Valentin Vacherot | 7-3 | 70% |
| Arthur Fils | 4-2 | 67% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | RET, W 2-1, W 2-0 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
What is the ATP Tokyo prize money?
Singles, by round.
| Round | Prize money | Ranking points |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | $437,955 | 500 |
| Finalist | $235,685 | 330 |
| Semi-finalist | $125,605 | 200 |
| Quarter-finalist | $64,170 | 100 |
| Round of 16 | $34,255 | 50 |
| Round of 32 | $18,270 | 0 |
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Tokyo?
Order of play from 03:00 UTC; individual times follow the session.
| Match | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert v Jiri Lehecka | 2.41 / 1.61 | 60% J. Lehecka |
| Carlos Alcaraz v Matteo Arnaldi | 1.06 / 9.50 | 90% C. Alcaraz |
| Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Tabilo | 1.70 / 2.23 | 57% D. Shapovalov |
| Matteo Berrettini v Daniel Vallejo Adolfo | 1.61 / 2.48 | 61% M. Berrettini |