THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 04 OCTOBERMATCHES 125EVENTS 38ALERTS 65
ATPHardTokyo · 1/8-finals2026-10-03 03:00

Ugo Humbert v Jiri Lehecka

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
U. Humbert to win2.39
Worth backing at 2.24 or bigger · our chance 45% · market 40/60, us 45/55

U. Humbert is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-15 on hard this season. J. Lehecka is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-12 on hard this season. The head to head is U. Humbert 1-0.

The pick is U. Humbert to win. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.24 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

U. HumbertJ. Lehecka
36Ranking19
5-5Last 107-3
WLLLWLast 5WWWLW
+0.7V the odds+0.3
26-23Season32-17
13-15Hard 202620-12
1Last 7 days1
3dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

U. Humbert2.4140%
J. LeheckaFAV1.6160%
Market says60% Lehecka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

U. Humbert1
J. Lehecka1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-03TokyoU. HumbertvJ. Lehecka1 - 2
2025-02-25ATP DubaiJ. LeheckavU. Humbert0 - 2

This season & this event

U. Humbert
J. Lehecka
26-24
13-16
Lost R32 to J. Brooksby
Lost Final to A. Fils
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-17
22-12
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Ugo Humbert
France
Jiri Lehecka
Czech Republic
36
28
France
0–1
0
0–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
19
24
Czech Republic
28–17
0
15–10
6–4
6–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

U. Humbert — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03TokyoHardJ. Lehecka1 - 22.4160%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardB. Nakashima0 - 23.1970%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardM. Zheng0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-06MontrealHardD. Merida Aguilar0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-31WashingtonHardB. Shelton1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-28WashingtonHardA. Martin2 - 0——WON
2026-06-30WimbledonGrassZ. Bergs2 - 3——LOST
2026-06-28EastbourneGrassZ. Bergs2 - 1——LOST
2026-06-26EastbourneGrassJ. Draper0 - 2——WON
2026-06-25EastbourneGrassQ. Halys2 - 0——WON

J. Lehecka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 01.3571%WON
2026-10-03TokyoHardU. Humbert1 - 21.6160%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardZ. Bergs2 - 11.3271%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Tien2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsB. Shelton2 - 0——WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardS. Tsitsipas1 - 3——LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardT. Samuel3 - 0——WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardP. Carreno-Busta3 - 1——WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardA. Fils1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardM. Berrettini2 - 1——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ugo Humbert or Jiri Lehecka?

Jiri Lehecka is favourite at 1.61, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka?

Ugo Humbert is 2.41 and Jiri Lehecka is 1.61, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Ugo Humbert and Jiri Lehecka?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka?

Our model makes it Ugo Humbert to win at 2.39 (Solid confidence).

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