Zangar Nurlanuly v Tomas Machac
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanT. Machac is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-13 on hard this season. Z. Nurlanuly is 6-4 over the last ten and 8-5 on hard this season. Z. Nurlanuly retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is T. Machac to win. We make it a 93% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.08 or bigger. At 1.02 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| Z. Nurlanuly | T. Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 75 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| +0.5 | V the odds | -1.6 |
| 13-9 | Season | 18-17 |
| 8-5 | Hard 2026 | 13-13 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 18d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| retired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
Z. Nurlanuly — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11 | Hard | P. Jubb | 1 - 0 RET | 10.00 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11 | Hard | A. Gabet | 2 - 1 | 1.40 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-08-11 | Astana | Hard | F. Sun | 2 - 1 | 4.83 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | M15 Astana | Hard | G. Shebekin | 1 - 2 | 1.85 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-07-31 | M15 Astana | Hard | D. Brand | 2 - 1 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-07-30 | M15 Astana | Hard | Y. Yerdilda | 1 - 1 RET | 1.10 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-07-29 | M15 Astana | Hard | A. Bakshi | 0 - 2 | 1.82 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-07-08 | Wimbledon | Grass | V. Reisach | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | Grass | D. Jovanovski | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | L. Sloboda | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
T. Machac — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | L. Draxl | 1 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | 2.73 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Zhang | 1 - 2 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | A. Gea | 0 - 2 | 2.16 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | T. Samuel | 3 - 0 | 2.31 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Rottgering | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 67% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Zangar Nurlanuly or Tomas Machac?
Tomas Machac is favourite at 1.02, which is a 93% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac?
Zangar Nurlanuly is 14.00 and Tomas Machac is 1.02, the prices we recorded for the Almaty match.
Who will win Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac?
Our model makes it Tomas Machac to win at 1.02 (Lean confidence).