THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 18 OCTOBERMATCHES 126EVENTS 45LIVE 7
ATPHard (Indoor)Almaty2026-10-19 08:00

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Facundo Diaz Acosta

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
T. A. Tirante to win 2-01.90
Price too short today - wait for 2.12 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 72/28, us 77/23

T. A. Tirante is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-12 on hard this season. F. Diaz Acosta is 6-4 over the last ten and 6-6 on hard this season. The head to head is T. A. Tirante 2-1.

The pick is T. A. Tirante to win 2-0. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.12 or bigger. At 1.90 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. A. TiranteF. Diaz Acosta
54Ranking69
6-4Last 106-4
LWLWLLast 5LLLWW
+0.9V the odds+0.2
33-21Season49-20
17-12Hard 20266-6
0Last 7 days1
9dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. A. TiranteFAV1.3372%
F. Diaz Acosta3.4028%
Market says72% Tirante

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. A. Tirante2
F. Diaz Acosta1
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2025-10-24Costa do SauipeT. A. TirantevF. Diaz Acosta2 - 0
2025-07-12TriesteF. Diaz AcostavT. A. Tirante0 - 2
2024-02-09CordobaT. A. TirantevF. Diaz Acosta1 - 2

This season & this event

T. A. Tirante
F. Diaz Acosta
33-21
17-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
49-20
6-6
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Argentina
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Argentina
54
25
Argentina
32–20
0
14–10
15–7
1–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
69
25
Argentina
49–19
6
1–4
48–14
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. A. Tirante — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardR. Jodar1 - 23.0668%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardH. Medjedovic2 - 01.7456%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardJ-L. Struff2 - 01.5762%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryM. Alkaya2 - 01.1882%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Mannarino2 - 31.4069%LOST
2026-08-21CincinnatiHardA. Fils0 - 23.9375%LOST
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardJ. Mensik2 - 12.7464%WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardM. Landaluce2 - 01.7355%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardN. Djokovic1 - 24.0176%WON
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardJ. Choinski2 - 11.5065%WON

F. Diaz Acosta — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12JinanHardS. Mochizuki0 - 21.7156%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardN. Borges2 - 03.8175%LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayD. E. Galan1 - 21.1780%LOST
2026-09-13SevilleClayD. Lajovic2 - 01.6260%WON
2026-09-12SevilleClayJ. Munar1 - 21.9951%WON
2026-09-11SevilleClayS. Ofner2 - 01.5762%WON
2026-09-09SevilleClayA. Moro Canas2 - 01.3571%WON
2026-09-07SevilleClayP. Martin Tiffon2 - 11.2776%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardQ. Halys3 - 13.6273%LOST
2026-08-02San MarinoClayM. Poljicak2 - 01.2876%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Thiago Agustin Tirante or Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Thiago Agustin Tirante is favourite at 1.33, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Thiago Agustin Tirante is 1.33 and Facundo Diaz Acosta is 3.40, the prices we recorded for the Almaty match.

What is the head-to-head between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Facundo Diaz Acosta?

They have met 3 times and Thiago Agustin Tirante leads 2-1.

Who will win Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Our model makes it Thiago Agustin Tirante to win 2-0 at 1.90 (Lean confidence).

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