THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 18 OCTOBERMATCHES 126EVENTS 45LIVE 7
ATPHard (Indoor)Almaty2026-10-19 08:00

Adrian Mannarino v Aleksandar Vukic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid
A. Mannarino to win1.44
Worth backing at 1.39 or bigger · our chance 72% · market 66/34, us 72/28

A. Mannarino is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-22 on hard this season. A. Vukic is 4-6 over the last ten and 22-21 on hard this season. A. Vukic took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05. A. Vukic retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is A. Mannarino 0-2.

The pick is A. Mannarino to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.39 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. MannarinoA. Vukic
83Ranking112
6-4Last 104-6
LWWLWLast 5LWLWL
+0.8V the odds-1.7
21-32Season26-30
16-22Hard 202622-21
1Last 7 days2
7dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessMTOretired
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. MannarinoFAV1.4466%
A. Vukic2.7534%
Market says66% Mannarino

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Mannarino0
A. Vukic2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2024-10-17ATP AlmatyA. VukicvA. Mannarino2 - 0
2024-08-20ATP Winston-SalemA. VukicvA. Mannarino2 - 1

This season & this event

A. Mannarino
A. Vukic
21-32
16-22
Did not play
Lost R16 to A. Vukic
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-30
22-21
Lost R16 to A. Michelsen
Lost SF to K. Khachanov

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Adrian Mannarino
France
Aleksandar Vukic
Australia
83
38
France
19–31
0
13–18
0–8
6–5
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
112
30
Australia
24–28
1
18–16
2–8
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Mannarino — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardK. Khachanov2 - 03.9575%LOST
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardF. Cobolli2 - 12.6563%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardN. Basilashvili1 - 0 RET1.9051%WON
2026-09-29BeijingHardP. Carreno-Busta0 - 22.4461%LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardM. Kecmanovic1 - 2——WON
2026-09-27ChengduHardD. Shapovalov1 - 23.1069%LOST
2026-09-25ChengduHardA. Tabilo0 - 22.5061%WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardJ. Shang0 - 22.8866%WON
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)M. Bobichon0 - 21.1681%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)D. Added2 - 01.1581%WON

A. Vukic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15JinanHardT. Machac2 - 02.8967%LOST
2026-10-14JinanHardH. Matsuoka0 - 21.7057%WON
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardP. Kotov2 - 02.3459%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardJ. Cui1 - 21.4467%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardE. Zhu0 - 1 RET1.2875%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardR. Seggerman2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardK. Jacquet1 - 21.9350%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardR. Sakamoto2 - 32.2857%LOST
2026-08-20Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis2 - 01.6060%LOST
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardK. Jacquet0 - 22.1856%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Adrian Mannarino or Aleksandar Vukic?

Adrian Mannarino is favourite at 1.44, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic?

Adrian Mannarino is 1.44 and Aleksandar Vukic is 2.75, the prices we recorded for the Almaty match.

What is the head-to-head between Adrian Mannarino and Aleksandar Vukic?

They have met 2 times and Aleksandar Vukic leads 2-0.

Who will win Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic?

Our model makes it Adrian Mannarino to win at 1.44 (Solid confidence).

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