Yuta Shimizu v Bernard Tomic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONB. Tomic is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-18 on hard this season. Y. Shimizu is 5-5 over the last ten and 23-19 on hard this season. The head to head is Y. Shimizu 0-1.
The pick is B. Tomic to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| Y. Shimizu | B. Tomic | |
|---|---|---|
| 399 | Ranking | 184 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| -0.6 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 23-19 | Season | 30-24 |
| 23-19 | Hard 2026 | 25-18 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Jingshan | Y. ShimizuvB. Tomic | 1 - 2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Little Rock | Y. ShimizuvB. Tomic | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
Y. Shimizu — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | B. Tomic | 1 - 2 | 2.46 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | 3.00 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | P. Sekulic | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | A. Weber | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | K. Samrej | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | A. Vishal Balsekar | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | A. Matusevich | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | Winnipeg | Hard | J. Monday | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Winnipeg | Hard | L. Broady | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
B. Tomic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | Y. Shimizu | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | F. Sun | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Sun | 0 - 2 | 1.46 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Te | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | A. Binda | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | Ja. Delaney | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | Y. Kikuchi | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Shanghai | Hard | I. Ivashka | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Yuta Shimizu or Bernard Tomic?
Bernard Tomic is favourite at 1.60, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic?
Yuta Shimizu is 2.46 and Bernard Tomic is 1.60, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Yuta Shimizu and Bernard Tomic?
They have met 2 times and Bernard Tomic leads 2-0.
Who will win Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic?
Our model makes it Bernard Tomic to win at 1.60 (Lean confidence).