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ChallengerHardJingshan · 1/8-finals2026-10-01 05:00

Elias Ymer v Federico Cina

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
F. Cina to win 2-01.88
Price too short today - wait for 2.09 or bigger · our chance 48% · market 28/72, us 22/78

F. Cina is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-13 on hard this season. E. Ymer is 4-6 over the last ten and 14-17 on hard this season. E. Ymer retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is E. Ymer 0-1.

The pick is F. Cina to win 2-0. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.09 or bigger. At 1.88 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. YmerF. Cina
197Ranking170
4-6Last 106-4
WLLWWLast 5WLWLW
-0.8V the odds-0.0
20-22Season32-23
14-17Hard 202619-13
1Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
retiredFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. Ymer3.4728%
F. CinaFAV1.3372%
Market says72% Cina

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

E. YmerLWLLW
F. CinaLWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Ymer0
F. Cina2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-02JingshanE. YmervF. Cina1 - 2
2026-08-03LexingtonF. CinavE. Ymer2 - 0

This season & this event

E. Ymer
F. Cina
20-23
14-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-24
20-14
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Elias Ymer
Sweden
Federico Cina
Italy
197
30
Sweden
17–20
0
9–13
2–3
6–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
170
19
Italy
29–22
1
13–8
15–13
1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Ymer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-01JingshanHardF. Cina1 - 23.4772%LOST
2026-09-30JingshanHardT. Atmane1 - 1 RET4.0876%WON
2026-09-22ChengduHardA. Galarneau0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18Guangzhou 2HardM. Sharipov0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-16Guangzhou 2HardL. Castelnuovo2 - 0——WON
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardS. Pankin2 - 1——WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardP. Kotov1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-01ZhangjiagangHardY. H. Hsu1 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardC. Garin0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardF. Roncadelli0 - 2——WON

F. Cina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02JingshanHardY. Erel2 - 01.3971%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardE. Ymer1 - 21.3372%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardJ. McCabe0 - 21.2375%WON
2026-09-25ChengduHardA. Muller0 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-09-24ChengduHardC. Ugo Carabelli2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardN. Basilashvili2 - 01.5562%LOST
2026-09-22ChengduHardK. Uchida0 - 2——WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardJ. K. Trotter0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Michelsen3 - 0——LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardH. Dellien2 - 1——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Elias Ymer or Federico Cina?

Federico Cina is favourite at 1.33, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina?

Elias Ymer is 3.47 and Federico Cina is 1.33, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.

What is the head-to-head between Elias Ymer and Federico Cina?

They have met 2 times and Federico Cina leads 2-0.

Who will win Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina?

Our model makes it Federico Cina to win 2-0 at 1.88 (Lean confidence).

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