THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 02 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 32LIVE 3ALERTS 85
ChallengerHardJingshan2026-10-01 05:00

Michael Zheng v Yanki Erel

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
M. Zheng to win1.21
Price too short today - wait for 1.31 or bigger · our chance 77% · market 78/22, us 77/23

M. Zheng is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-11 on hard this season. Y. Erel is 7-3 over the last ten and 44-15 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Zheng to win. We make it a 77% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.31 or bigger. At 1.21 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. ZhengY. Erel
92Ranking449
6-4Last 107-3
WLLWWLast 5WLWWL
-0.6V the odds+0.1
29-16Season47-17
21-11Hard 202644-15
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. ZhengFAV1.1779%
Y. Erel4.3321%
Market says79% Zheng

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Y. ErelWWWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Zheng0
Y. Erel1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01JingshanM. ZhengvY. Erel0 - 2

This season & this event

M. Zheng
Y. Erel
30-17
22-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
50-18
47-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Michael Zheng
USA
Yanki Erel
Turkey
92
22
USA
29–16
0
21–11
3–2
5–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
449
26
Turkey
0–0
0
0–0
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Zheng — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-01JingshanHardY. Erel0 - 21.1779%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardY. Zeng2 - 01.0292%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.6459%LOST
2026-09-19TiburonHardDar. Blanch0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18TiburonHardM. Krueger2 - 0——WON
2026-09-17TiburonHardT. Svajda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardE. Zhu2 - 1——WON
2026-09-05US OpenHardA. Gea2 - 3——LOST
2026-09-03US OpenHardY. Bu1 - 3——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardF. Marozsan0 - 3——WON

Y. Erel — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02JingshanHardF. Cina2 - 03.4871%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardM. Zheng0 - 24.3379%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Weber0 - 21.5562%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryF. Cerundolo2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-11IstanbulClayJ. D. Hara Friend1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-10IstanbulClayR. Albot2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08IstanbulClayT. Skatov0 - 2——WON
2026-09-05M25 Urayasu (Japan)HardR. Matsuda0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-04M25 Urayasu (Japan)HardK. Saitoh2 - 0——WON
2026-09-03M25 Urayasu (Japan)HardY. Oki2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Michael Zheng or Yanki Erel?

Michael Zheng is favourite at 1.17, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel?

Michael Zheng is 1.17 and Yanki Erel is 4.33, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.

What is the head-to-head between Michael Zheng and Yanki Erel?

They have met 1 time and Yanki Erel leads 1-0.

Who will win Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel?

Our model makes it Michael Zheng to win at 1.21 (Lean confidence).

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