Michael Zheng v Yanki Erel
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTM. Zheng is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-11 on hard this season. Y. Erel is 7-3 over the last ten and 44-15 on hard this season.
The pick is M. Zheng to win. We make it a 77% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.31 or bigger. At 1.21 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Zheng | Y. Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | Ranking | 449 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| -0.6 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 29-16 | Season | 47-17 |
| 21-11 | Hard 2026 | 44-15 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | M. ZhengvY. Erel | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Zheng — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | Y. Erel | 0 - 2 | 1.17 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | Y. Zeng | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | Y. Bu | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | Tiburon | Hard | Dar. Blanch | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Tiburon | Hard | M. Krueger | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Tiburon | Hard | T. Svajda | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Tiburon | Hard | E. Zhu | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 3 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | Y. Bu | 1 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | — | — | WON |
Y. Erel — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Jingshan | Hard | F. Cina | 2 - 0 | 3.48 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | M. Zheng | 0 - 2 | 4.33 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Weber | 0 - 2 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Istanbul | Clay | J. D. Hara Friend | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | Istanbul | Clay | R. Albot | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Istanbul | Clay | T. Skatov | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | M25 Urayasu (Japan) | Hard | R. Matsuda | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | M25 Urayasu (Japan) | Hard | K. Saitoh | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | M25 Urayasu (Japan) | Hard | Y. Oki | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Michael Zheng or Yanki Erel?
Michael Zheng is favourite at 1.17, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel?
Michael Zheng is 1.17 and Yanki Erel is 4.33, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Michael Zheng and Yanki Erel?
They have met 1 time and Yanki Erel leads 1-0.
Who will win Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel?
Our model makes it Michael Zheng to win at 1.21 (Lean confidence).