THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 10 OCTOBERMATCHES 118EVENTS 37LIVE 1ALERTS 55
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-09 15:30

Vilius Gaubas v Luka Mikrut

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
L. Mikrut to win1.46
Worth backing at 1.38 or bigger · our chance 72% · market 34/66, us 28/72

L. Mikrut is 9-1 over the last ten and 16-4 on clay this season. V. Gaubas is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-21 on clay this season. V. Gaubas took a medical timeout on 2026-10-08. The head to head is V. Gaubas 0-1.

The pick is L. Mikrut to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.38 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

V. GaubasL. Mikrut
117Ranking166
5-5Last 109-1
WWLLLLast 5WWWWW
-1.0V the odds+1.7
31-27Season19-10
19-21Clay 202616-4
2Last 7 days2
2dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
MTODefending finalFitnessDefending title
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

V. Gaubas2.8634%
L. MikrutFAV1.4666%
Market says66% Mikrut

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

V. Gaubas1
L. Mikrut1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09BragaV. GaubasvL. Mikrut2 - 0
2025-10-05BragaV. GaubasvL. Mikrut0 - 2

This season & this event

V. Gaubas
Defending final
L. Mikrut
Defending title
32-28
20-22
Lost Final to L. Mikrut
Lost R16 to A. Pellegrino
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
19-11
16-5
Champion
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Vilius Gaubas
Lithuania
Luka Mikrut
Croatia
117
21
Lithuania
29–27
0
7–4
17–21
3–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
166
22
Croatia
17–10
1
3–5
14–4
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Gaubas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10BragaClayE. Moller2 - 11.7954%LOST
2026-10-09BragaClayL. Mikrut2 - 02.8666%WON
2026-10-07BragaClayD. Ajdukovic2 - 11.4367%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayJ. Domingues2 - 01.1184%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryH. Medjedovic2 - 02.8466%LOST
2026-09-08SevilleClayP. Lagutin1 - 21.4169%LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardH. Wendelken1 - 21.3768%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardM. Cecchinato2 - 01.4168%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardK. Feldbausch2 - 01.7854%WON
2026-08-04HagenClayM. Houkes2 - 11.5264%LOST

L. Mikrut — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 01.4666%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Krutykh1 - 21.1980%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayS. Nagal0 - 21.2972%WON
2026-09-27Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller1 - 21.4169%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Neumayer0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayK. Coppejans2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Iannaccone0 - 2——WON
2026-09-19SzczecinClayN. Sanchez Izquierdo2 - 01.8154%LOST
2026-09-18SzczecinClayT. Gentzsch1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Vilius Gaubas or Luka Mikrut?

Luka Mikrut is favourite at 1.46, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut?

Vilius Gaubas is 2.86 and Luka Mikrut is 1.46, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Vilius Gaubas and Luka Mikrut?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut?

Our model makes it Luka Mikrut to win at 1.46 (Solid confidence).

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