Marvin Moeller v Matej Dodig
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-11 on clay this season. M. Moeller is 7-3 over the last ten and 34-16 on clay this season. M. Moeller took a medical timeout on 2026-10-07. The head to head is M. Moeller 2-0.
The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Moeller | M. Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| 259 | Ranking | 171 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWLLW |
| +1.1 | V the odds | +2.4 |
| 50-23 | Season | 33-20 |
| 34-16 | Clay 2026 | 28-11 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | M. MoellervM. Dodig | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hamburg | M. DodigvM. Moeller | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-07-08 | ITF M15 Sofia Men | M. MoellervM. Dodig | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Moeller — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | 2.86 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | R. Nijboer | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Mikrut | 1 - 2 | 3.08 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Blanch | 2 - 1 | 1.80 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Travaglia | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 1 | 2.28 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | D. Michalski | 2 - 0 | 1.74 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Tulln | Clay | M. Soto | 1 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | LOST |
M. Dodig — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Braga | Clay | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 | 1.68 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | M. Moeller | 0 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | M. Damas | 0 - 2 | 1.26 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | 16.08 | 94% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Genova | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | 2.10 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Genova | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | 1.52 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | H. Dellien | 0 - 0 RET | 2.23 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Agamenone | 0 - 1 RET | 1.34 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Como | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 65% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Marvin Moeller or Matej Dodig?
Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.46, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig?
Marvin Moeller is 2.86 and Matej Dodig is 1.46, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Marvin Moeller and Matej Dodig?
They have met 3 times and Marvin Moeller leads 2-1.
Who will win Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig?
Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.46 (Lean confidence).