Elmer Moller v Tiago Pereira
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTT. Pereira is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-16 on clay this season. E. Moller is 4-6 over the last ten and 12-14 on clay this season. The head to head is E. Moller 2-1.
The pick is T. Pereira to win. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.53 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| E. Moller | T. Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| 175 | Ranking | 339 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| -0.7 | V the odds | +0.8 |
| 21-24 | Season | 41-33 |
| 12-14 | Clay 2026 | 21-16 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | E. MollervT. Pereira | 2 - 1 |
| 2025-11-17 | Montemar | T. PereiravE. Moller | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Lisbon | E. MollervT. Pereira | 0 - 2 |
| 2024-09-22 | Lisbon Challenger Men | E. MoellervT. Pereira | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
E. Moller — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Braga | Clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 1 | 2.11 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Braga | Clay | Z. Piros | 1 - 2 | 2.25 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | T. Monteiro | 1 - 2 | 2.25 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | 1.92 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | I. Radulov | 2 - 0 | 1.43 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 2 | 4.01 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | 2.37 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | C. Wong | 2 - 1 | 4.78 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | A. Matusevich | 0 - 2 | 1.97 | 51% | LOST |
T. Pereira — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | E. Moller | 2 - 1 | 2.85 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 | 3.47 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | P. Martin Tiffon | 2 - 0 | 2.62 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Porto | Clay | H. Grenier | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | O. Virtanen | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | Pa. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | 1.05 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | F. Pieczonka | 1 - 2 | 2.04 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin | Clay | R. Molleker | 2 - 1 | 2.46 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Szczecin | Clay | I. Lopez Morillo | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Seville | Clay | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | 2.23 | 57% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Elmer Moller or Tiago Pereira?
Elmer Moller is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Tiago Pereira?
Elmer Moller is 1.47 and Tiago Pereira is 2.85, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Elmer Moller and Tiago Pereira?
They have met 4 times and Elmer Moller leads 3-1.
Who will win Elmer Moller vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model makes it Tiago Pereira to win at 2.85 (Solid confidence).