Lukas Neumayer v Max Alcala Gurri
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTM. Alcala Gurri is 9-1 over the last ten and 60-17 on clay this season. L. Neumayer is 6-4 over the last ten and 30-13 on clay this season. M. Alcala Gurri retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is L. Neumayer 2-0.
The pick is M. Alcala Gurri to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Neumayer | M. Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| 180 | Ranking | 161 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| -0.8 | V the odds | +2.3 |
| 43-25 | Season | 60-18 |
| 30-13 | Clay 2026 | 60-17 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | L. NeumayervM. Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 |
| 2025-03-21 | M25 Badalona | L. NeumayervM. Alcala Gurri | 2 - 0 |
| 2022-04-07 | M25 Reus | L. NeumayervM. Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Neumayer — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | M. Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | 2.14 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | O. Wallin | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | F. Broska | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Mikrut | 0 - 2 | 2.47 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. D'Agostino | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | Z. Bergs | 1 - 2 | 2.82 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Tulln | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | 1.40 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | J. M. La Serna | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
M. Alcala Gurri — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | L. Neumayer | 2 - 1 | 1.76 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | P. Schoen | 0 - 2 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | D. Blanch | 0 - 2 | 1.31 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | J. Forejtek | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | P. Martin Tiffon | 0 - 0 RET | 1.63 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Sanchez Jover | 2 - 0 | 1.33 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | E. Coulibaly | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Seville | Clay | D. Lajovic | 0 - 1 RET | 3.04 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville | Clay | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lukas Neumayer or Max Alcala Gurri?
Max Alcala Gurri is favourite at 1.76, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lukas Neumayer vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Lukas Neumayer is 2.14 and Max Alcala Gurri is 1.76, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Lukas Neumayer and Max Alcala Gurri?
They have met 3 times and Lukas Neumayer leads 3-0.
Who will win Lukas Neumayer vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model makes it Max Alcala Gurri to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).